Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2017-02-23

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2017-02-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50966 1667 20 2 0
c1 277 4131 1107 676 0
c2 1 1321 2290 1620 0
c3 0 402 2436 3369 0
c4 0 126 656 1312 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-02-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51529 1423 11 1 0
c1 203 4177 1102 488 0
c2 0 1386 2603 1470 0
c3 0 378 3159 4210 0
c4 0 62 586 1428 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-02-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52787 1513 9 1 0
c1 408 4421 857 332 0
c2 13 1447 2856 1437 0
c3 3 557 2860 4850 0
c4 0 87 504 1425 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-02-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51096 1753 21 5 0
c1 546 4498 722 268 0
c2 8 1560 2850 1426 0
c3 5 237 2688 4916 0
c4 0 73 484 1464 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51079 1747 19 4 0
c1 563 4555 750 305 0
c2 8 1497 2784 1386 0
c3 5 244 2706 4944 0
c4 0 78 506 1440 0

Date: 2017-02-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51631 1585 26 22 0
c1 564 4614 704 181 0
c2 7 1898 2826 1305 0
c3 5 358 2800 3953 0
c4 0 145 786 1829 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51630 1646 25 24 0
c1 566 4610 771 209 0
c2 7 1820 2719 1264 0
c3 4 359 2822 3978 0
c4 0 165 805 1815 0

Date: 2017-02-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50600 1511 6 12 0
c1 450 3594 522 201 0
c2 6 1784 2637 1061 0
c3 4 605 2864 3776 0
c4 0 220 1011 2069 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50496 1524 37 30 0
c1 541 3500 623 214 0
c2 19 1846 2527 1118 0
c3 4 613 2780 3739 0
c4 0 231 1073 2018 0

Date: 2017-03-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 46137 1752 4 14 0
c1 452 4459 781 278 0
c2 3 1534 2636 1107 0
c3 1 346 2654 4235 0
c4 0 248 820 1980 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 46045 1876 38 23 0
c1 499 4090 901 315 0
c2 46 1745 2383 1126 0
c3 3 386 2701 4177 0
c4 0 242 872 1973 0

Date: 2017-03-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51650 1810 17 11 0
c1 341 4568 938 303 0
c2 3 1645 2450 1068 0
c3 0 358 2293 3653 0
c4 0 234 825 1865 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51418 1954 94 17 0
c1 567 4121 1029 380 0
c2 9 1893 2259 1065 0
c3 0 430 2323 3611 0
c4 0 217 818 1827 0


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