Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2017-02-16

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2017-02-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49893 1815 16 22 0
c1 886 4897 969 274 0
c2 16 2890 2580 1069 0
c3 0 825 2193 3389 0
c4 0 787 580 1217 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-02-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 43382 1620 21 1 0
c1 597 4728 1317 272 0
c2 3 2507 2916 1114 0
c3 1 631 2366 3394 0
c4 0 282 927 952 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-02-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 47961 1666 19 9 0
c1 431 4883 889 173 0
c2 5 1649 3110 1388 0
c3 4 407 2484 3736 0
c4 0 91 664 1352 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-02-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52266 1719 13 1 0
c1 397 4681 1158 479 0
c2 5 1374 2520 1625 0
c3 0 297 2541 4421 0
c4 0 128 721 1346 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52274 1750 14 1 0
c1 390 4659 1154 483 0
c2 4 1355 2560 1640 0
c3 0 311 2512 4388 0
c4 0 124 713 1360 0

Date: 2017-02-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51782 1837 32 1 0
c1 356 4344 1182 609 0
c2 3 1277 2490 1608 0
c3 0 398 2756 4092 0
c4 0 94 645 1286 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51746 1870 42 1 0
c1 393 4290 1213 629 0
c2 2 1288 2451 1595 0
c3 0 400 2747 4082 0
c4 0 102 652 1289 0

Date: 2017-02-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 45826 1375 12 1 0
c1 323 4360 960 557 0
c2 4 1485 2678 1507 0
c3 0 471 2856 4108 0
c4 0 110 575 1366 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 45574 1569 24 9 0
c1 560 4151 1082 632 0
c2 12 1460 2555 1458 0
c3 7 469 2839 4087 0
c4 0 152 581 1353 0

Date: 2017-02-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51957 1402 19 5 0
c1 448 3779 746 298 0
c2 10 1312 2912 1434 0
c3 6 401 2591 4040 0
c4 0 73 381 1426 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51756 1534 31 14 0
c1 616 3634 903 380 0
c2 27 1313 2708 1405 0
c3 19 355 2592 4063 0
c4 3 131 415 1341 0

Date: 2017-02-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52829 1786 30 15 0
c1 564 4362 685 187 0
c2 5 1624 2897 1305 0
c3 4 289 2976 4852 0
c4 0 77 602 1700 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52560 1978 79 21 0
c1 805 4291 966 298 0
c2 29 1487 2629 1354 0
c3 7 281 2879 4781 0
c4 1 101 637 1605 0


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