Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2017-02-09

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2017-02-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53718 1658 16 7 0
c1 723 5065 744 310 0
c2 37 1964 3077 1879 0
c3 0 402 2476 3798 0
c4 0 203 797 2447 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-02-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 43475 1344 14 7 0
c1 563 5184 809 290 0
c2 19 2283 2879 1726 0
c3 2 463 2325 3700 0
c4 0 88 1067 3105 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-02-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52230 1653 20 3 0
c1 646 5179 1074 235 0
c2 6 2495 2846 1471 0
c3 6 579 2178 3155 0
c4 0 206 882 2398 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-02-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52691 1487 19 26 0
c1 781 4584 784 189 0
c2 26 2596 2764 1181 0
c3 0 818 2674 3009 0
c4 0 861 669 1318 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52667 1502 22 25 0
c1 808 4621 806 186 0
c2 23 2533 2743 1185 0
c3 0 873 2686 3020 0
c4 0 817 653 1307 0

Date: 2017-02-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49858 1804 24 26 0
c1 1019 4829 1063 170 0
c2 8 2984 2608 1177 0
c3 0 799 2181 4104 0
c4 0 620 691 1529 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49805 1848 21 22 0
c1 1064 4853 1097 174 0
c2 16 2893 2564 1197 0
c3 0 851 2212 4101 0
c4 0 591 673 1512 0

Date: 2017-02-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 47336 1714 12 2 0
c1 496 5527 1109 155 0
c2 4 2074 3108 1289 0
c3 2 498 2453 3854 0
c4 0 161 879 1164 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 47204 1890 19 16 0
c1 625 5243 1180 143 0
c2 6 2183 3094 1293 0
c3 3 526 2428 3846 0
c4 0 132 840 1166 0

Date: 2017-02-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49796 1804 12 2 0
c1 478 4972 1051 473 0
c2 7 1573 2850 1529 0
c3 3 293 2243 3898 0
c4 0 64 692 1471 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49612 1978 21 24 0
c1 661 4762 1010 468 0
c2 11 1617 2928 1512 0
c3 0 304 2215 3898 0
c4 0 45 674 1471 0

Date: 2017-02-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50966 1667 20 2 0
c1 277 4131 1107 676 0
c2 1 1321 2290 1620 0
c3 0 402 2436 3369 0
c4 0 126 656 1312 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50843 1851 46 16 0
c1 398 3753 992 677 0
c2 3 1519 2293 1674 0
c3 0 452 2519 3368 0
c4 0 72 659 1244 0


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