Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2017-02-02

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2017-01-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52856 1464 15 7 0
c1 1100 4395 784 198 0
c2 23 2103 2726 2107 0
c3 2 460 1368 2709 0
c4 0 113 390 1542 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-01-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55522 1786 19 7 0
c1 731 5018 882 264 0
c2 3 1792 2967 2825 0
c3 0 493 1882 3687 0
c4 0 138 549 2023 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-01-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53155 2061 13 3 0
c1 457 5523 699 219 0
c2 14 1690 3164 2216 0
c3 0 424 2359 3629 0
c4 0 160 804 2114 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-02-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53444 1918 20 14 0
c1 564 5223 804 280 0
c2 44 1851 2954 2033 0
c3 0 379 2375 3856 0
c4 0 332 688 2780 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53450 1890 22 14 0
c1 560 5270 832 284 0
c2 42 1822 2944 2090 0
c3 0 389 2347 3816 0
c4 0 332 696 2759 0

Date: 2017-02-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54217 1469 17 6 0
c1 749 4179 597 286 0
c2 59 2223 2803 1695 0
c3 0 424 2512 3772 0
c4 0 155 815 2488 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54196 1461 14 6 0
c1 767 4219 647 299 0
c2 62 2160 2780 1757 0
c3 0 445 2474 3723 0
c4 0 165 829 2462 0

Date: 2017-02-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52644 1510 7 0 0
c1 654 4982 723 199 0
c2 14 2574 2890 1465 0
c3 2 452 2219 3823 0
c4 0 129 1032 2272 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52371 1619 15 0 0
c1 903 4827 769 224 0
c2 38 2614 2898 1547 0
c3 2 456 2114 3730 0
c4 0 131 1075 2258 0

Date: 2017-02-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 39824 1474 11 16 0
c1 675 5117 906 164 0
c2 6 2704 2803 1327 0
c3 3 686 2194 3243 0
c4 0 602 763 2240 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 39613 1550 21 17 0
c1 872 5063 955 179 0
c2 21 2724 2843 1386 0
c3 2 674 2111 3130 0
c4 0 572 747 2278 0

Date: 2017-02-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49893 1815 16 22 0
c1 886 4897 969 274 0
c2 16 2890 2580 1069 0
c3 0 825 2193 3389 0
c4 0 787 580 1217 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49645 1903 34 12 0
c1 1110 4996 1084 320 0
c2 40 2767 2620 1168 0
c3 0 769 2008 3172 0
c4 0 779 592 1299 0


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