Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2017-01-12

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2017-01-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52536 1437 27 38 0
c1 950 6005 987 174 0
c2 30 3374 7147 3058 0
c3 3 813 2044 3162 0
c4 0 29 134 493 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-01-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49630 1492 53 17 0
c1 832 6158 1159 246 0
c2 3 2054 5990 4357 0
c3 0 519 2438 3298 0
c4 0 17 124 335 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-01-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54254 1983 82 13 0
c1 1058 6093 961 156 0
c2 3 1998 4731 4955 0
c3 0 377 2602 3930 0
c4 0 8 122 532 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-01-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 39522 1480 54 38 0
c1 947 5785 1009 239 0
c2 8 2215 3771 3115 0
c3 0 383 2011 3464 0
c4 0 16 191 439 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 39521 1473 48 23 0
c1 951 5814 1032 229 0
c2 5 2203 3733 3087 0
c3 0 375 2028 3530 0
c4 0 14 195 426 0

Date: 2017-01-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55743 1848 43 12 0
c1 1164 5814 942 182 0
c2 10 2120 3768 2786 0
c3 0 285 1281 3812 0
c4 0 20 225 488 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55730 1864 40 11 0
c1 1178 5726 930 178 0
c2 9 2178 3785 2739 0
c3 0 300 1279 3872 0
c4 0 19 225 480 0

Date: 2017-01-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54588 1716 23 1 0
c1 1197 6012 844 177 0
c2 7 2270 3604 2600 0
c3 0 337 1294 3228 0
c4 0 17 266 395 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54104 1712 27 3 0
c1 1674 5604 844 133 0
c2 13 2627 3571 2544 0
c3 1 392 1342 3328 0
c4 0 17 247 393 0

Date: 2017-01-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52282 2314 31 0 0
c1 1207 7175 479 202 0
c2 7 2728 3639 2204 0
c3 3 459 1288 2579 0
c4 0 20 256 478 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51919 2409 32 0 0
c1 1564 6399 414 148 0
c2 12 3296 3553 2157 0
c3 4 575 1463 2758 0
c4 0 17 231 400 0

Date: 2017-01-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 39057 1554 18 1 0
c1 1044 6958 712 178 0
c2 4 2070 3701 2833 0
c3 3 399 1293 3057 0
c4 0 21 316 648 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 38726 1802 17 1 0
c1 1371 5805 618 95 0
c2 10 2895 3516 2758 0
c3 1 476 1627 3240 0
c4 0 24 262 623 0


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