Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2016-12-29

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2016-12-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56619 1827 35 8 0
c1 2698 8059 1635 215 0
c2 174 2687 5938 2999 0
c3 26 318 1229 2573 0
c4 0 25 92 252 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-12-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 46776 1218 46 10 0
c1 1069 7274 1514 210 0
c2 19 2225 6678 2874 0
c3 15 264 1051 2705 0
c4 0 62 94 214 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-12-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 58851 1729 21 38 0
c1 572 8515 1587 216 0
c2 24 2591 6719 3002 0
c3 11 225 863 2744 0
c4 0 71 138 214 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-12-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 58260 1576 29 51 0
c1 699 8282 1261 104 0
c2 29 2616 5018 3122 0
c3 18 276 1128 3006 0
c4 0 31 152 173 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 58311 1589 27 51 0
c1 649 8323 1267 110 0
c2 33 2580 5002 3170 0
c3 13 265 1138 2951 0
c4 0 24 154 174 0

Date: 2016-12-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53461 1556 43 38 0
c1 831 6733 1852 301 0
c2 21 2926 5482 3234 0
c3 2 365 1713 3022 0
c4 0 7 148 225 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53490 1623 46 38 0
c1 803 6701 1942 335 0
c2 21 2897 5433 3210 0
c3 1 361 1676 3032 0
c4 0 5 141 205 0

Date: 2017-01-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54189 2085 48 23 0
c1 451 7119 1397 393 0
c2 4 2993 5599 3991 0
c3 0 357 2656 2635 0
c4 0 5 150 233 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53853 2005 48 23 0
c1 774 7137 1463 442 0
c2 16 2973 5485 3935 0
c3 1 439 2718 2654 0
c4 0 5 136 221 0

Date: 2017-01-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51685 1303 24 20 0
c1 402 6319 1105 209 0
c2 1 2401 6198 3733 0
c3 0 437 2944 2728 0
c4 0 9 140 521 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51357 1311 22 21 0
c1 728 6013 1219 247 0
c2 3 2671 6061 3658 0
c3 0 441 2966 2804 0
c4 0 33 143 481 0

Date: 2017-01-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52536 1437 27 38 0
c1 950 6005 987 174 0
c2 30 3374 7147 3058 0
c3 3 813 2044 3162 0
c4 0 29 134 493 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52010 1386 26 36 0
c1 1327 5413 1139 175 0
c2 179 3926 6958 3030 0
c3 3 904 2060 3258 0
c4 0 29 156 426 0


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