Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2016-12-22

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2016-12-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 60649 2463 19 49 0
c1 950 9623 1703 155 0
c2 36 3443 4585 2784 0
c3 4 185 612 1727 0
c4 0 11 99 131 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-12-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59061 2065 29 51 0
c1 691 9609 1969 105 0
c2 32 3414 4922 3151 0
c3 0 219 621 2010 0
c4 0 4 114 161 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-12-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54966 1937 29 51 0
c1 1827 7783 1811 96 0
c2 140 3012 5115 3410 0
c3 0 281 1121 2488 0
c4 0 10 117 249 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-12-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59644 1713 34 21 0
c1 2656 7262 1375 123 0
c2 234 2592 5269 3262 0
c3 24 312 1287 2409 0
c4 0 17 87 269 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59731 1737 36 22 0
c1 2560 7232 1351 127 0
c2 246 2626 5303 3323 0
c3 21 286 1271 2346 0
c4 0 15 91 266 0

Date: 2016-12-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 43429 1403 41 12 0
c1 2465 8103 1599 236 0
c2 47 2891 6352 2789 0
c3 23 313 1259 2574 0
c4 0 42 96 300 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 43474 1474 41 12 0
c1 2406 8031 1572 244 0
c2 65 2913 6410 2843 0
c3 19 298 1224 2522 0
c4 0 36 100 290 0

Date: 2016-12-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 47555 1787 27 14 0
c1 656 7855 1680 235 0
c2 12 2107 6540 3040 0
c3 19 250 866 2743 0
c4 0 69 108 143 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 46906 1675 27 14 0
c1 1273 7597 1689 246 0
c2 33 2431 6562 3039 0
c3 30 284 819 2713 0
c4 0 81 124 163 0

Date: 2016-12-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54500 1717 28 49 0
c1 641 8593 1574 185 0
c2 30 2738 6489 3136 0
c3 27 175 962 3030 0
c4 0 65 195 222 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53968 1711 26 49 0
c1 1101 8069 1642 215 0
c2 62 3192 6437 3134 0
c3 61 222 898 2951 0
c4 6 94 245 273 0

Date: 2016-12-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 57573 1381 40 51 0
c1 883 6957 1379 274 0
c2 32 2627 5941 3198 0
c3 8 408 1488 3043 0
c4 0 21 148 233 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 57215 1297 35 51 0
c1 1113 6453 1588 353 0
c2 98 3086 5648 3282 0
c3 66 507 1506 2859 0
c4 4 51 219 254 0


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