Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2016-04-07

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2016-04-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54144 1643 40 16 0
c1 1036 4266 637 257 0
c2 106 2296 1983 1295 0
c3 0 982 2700 2735 0
c4 0 188 1119 3939 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-04-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49775 1908 16 18 0
c1 723 4075 424 507 0
c2 34 2470 1615 1148 0
c3 32 984 2558 2590 0
c4 0 288 1062 4168 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-04-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49708 1749 10 31 0
c1 933 4247 385 383 0
c2 45 2731 1325 712 0
c3 30 1116 2474 1848 0
c4 0 333 1461 3966 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-04-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54268 1818 16 6 0
c1 1060 3609 321 265 0
c2 51 3044 1294 845 0
c3 13 1313 2422 1866 0
c4 0 471 1860 4240 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54211 1836 15 6 0
c1 1118 3604 320 276 0
c2 48 3037 1307 851 0
c3 15 1311 2446 1858 0
c4 0 467 1825 4231 0

Date: 2016-04-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52690 2092 27 23 0
c1 920 3955 256 179 0
c2 52 3016 1458 590 0
c3 0 1754 2589 1849 0
c4 0 503 2037 4144 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52596 2066 26 23 0
c1 1008 4041 256 187 0
c2 56 2988 1463 598 0
c3 2 1728 2620 1830 0
c4 0 497 2002 4147 0

Date: 2016-04-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54276 2375 9 14 0
c1 538 4535 330 209 0
c2 38 3052 1195 738 0
c3 4 1992 2411 2151 0
c4 0 835 2383 4041 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54043 2587 27 20 0
c1 743 4089 314 305 0
c2 70 3285 1267 791 0
c3 0 1970 2396 2001 0
c4 0 858 2324 4036 0

Date: 2016-04-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50529 2627 16 7 0
c1 630 4383 308 138 0
c2 21 3492 1151 547 0
c3 1 2183 2892 2118 0
c4 0 688 2651 4415 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50381 2990 29 9 0
c1 759 3821 255 171 0
c2 40 3420 1255 685 0
c3 1 2355 2833 1961 0
c4 0 787 2646 4399 0

Date: 2016-04-15:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available


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