Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2016-03-31

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2016-03-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53756 1488 23 30 0
c1 1061 4711 417 248 0
c2 46 2235 1812 804 0
c3 0 847 2397 2219 0
c4 0 187 1696 4914 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-03-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49139 1638 22 34 0
c1 1031 4632 678 244 0
c2 39 2124 1689 817 0
c3 0 822 2650 2288 0
c4 0 160 1531 4276 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-03-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53432 1701 50 5 0
c1 1459 4303 614 328 0
c2 103 2339 1732 923 0
c3 0 794 2846 2426 0
c4 0 141 1202 4244 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-03-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52532 1691 35 10 0
c1 1181 4096 679 419 0
c2 106 2413 2171 1000 0
c3 10 894 2832 2696 0
c4 0 126 877 3983 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 0 0 0 0 0
c1 0 0 0 0 0
c2 0 0 0 0 0
c3 0 0 0 0 0
c4 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2016-04-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51838 1551 30 18 0
c1 1034 3623 521 506 0
c2 89 2416 1850 1357 0
c3 0 968 2545 2770 0
c4 0 276 1140 3788 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 0 0 0 0 0
c1 0 0 0 0 0
c2 0 0 0 0 0
c3 0 0 0 0 0
c4 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2016-04-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52883 1803 9 22 0
c1 767 3864 374 340 0
c2 34 2557 1312 1046 0
c3 34 1135 2712 1952 0
c4 0 268 1442 4501 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 0 0 0 0 0
c1 0 0 0 0 0
c2 0 0 0 0 0
c3 0 0 0 0 0
c4 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2016-04-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54441 1811 18 18 0
c1 1039 4234 417 312 0
c2 38 2920 1292 774 0
c3 21 1243 2350 2048 0
c4 0 386 1648 4158 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 0 0 0 0 0
c1 0 0 0 0 0
c2 0 0 0 0 0
c3 0 0 0 0 0
c4 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2016-04-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53180 2134 14 18 0
c1 1011 4312 262 247 0
c2 53 3062 1452 598 0
c3 5 1392 2537 2154 0
c4 0 476 1765 4248 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 0 0 0 0 0
c1 0 0 0 0 0
c2 0 0 0 0 0
c3 0 0 0 0 0
c4 0 0 0 0 0


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