Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2016-03-17

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2016-03-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50733 1525 36 32 0
c1 1843 5065 1050 389 0
c2 50 2359 2016 1095 0
c3 0 773 1948 2503 0
c4 0 162 853 2776 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-03-13:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2016-03-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 46576 1346 20 16 0
c1 1260 4347 544 423 0
c2 9 1784 1524 1150 0
c3 0 596 2004 1839 0
c4 0 44 668 3019 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-03-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51976 1543 18 6 0
c1 1388 4977 775 309 0
c2 9 1908 2043 962 0
c3 0 887 2576 2049 0
c4 0 230 1086 4150 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52044 1619 17 6 0
c1 1319 4904 802 318 0
c2 10 1901 2077 970 0
c3 0 898 2494 2041 0
c4 0 223 1108 4141 0

Date: 2016-03-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51707 1705 23 33 0
c1 1259 5538 885 419 0
c2 18 1969 2097 1045 0
c3 0 774 2331 2468 0
c4 0 254 1266 5012 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51728 1718 23 36 0
c1 1230 5550 920 449 0
c2 26 1948 2125 1023 0
c3 0 770 2245 2439 0
c4 0 254 1289 5030 0

Date: 2016-03-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 44630 1639 21 5 0
c1 774 5794 855 312 0
c2 19 1885 2144 1117 0
c3 0 817 2263 2294 0
c4 0 311 1245 4866 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 44370 1680 29 15 0
c1 1006 5651 920 338 0
c2 47 1957 2073 1104 0
c3 0 842 2199 2176 0
c4 0 316 1307 4961 0

Date: 2016-03-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51449 1343 10 11 0
c1 797 5040 679 321 0
c2 27 2019 1824 970 0
c3 0 759 2304 2055 0
c4 0 222 1390 4794 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51137 1322 27 24 0
c1 1070 4760 719 390 0
c2 66 2102 1703 997 0
c3 0 938 2188 1886 0
c4 0 261 1570 4854 0

Date: 2016-03-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53756 1488 23 30 0
c1 1061 4711 417 248 0
c2 46 2235 1812 804 0
c3 0 847 2397 2219 0
c4 0 187 1696 4914 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53449 1457 21 34 0
c1 1278 4413 528 289 0
c2 135 2253 1534 906 0
c3 1 1134 2548 1998 0
c4 0 211 1714 4988 0


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