Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2016-02-25

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2016-02-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50330 1264 8 62 0
c1 2139 4708 622 251 0
c2 148 2179 2011 1165 0
c3 8 525 3086 3405 0
c4 0 68 777 3301 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-02-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53963 1195 23 18 0
c1 1327 5065 412 222 0
c2 209 2380 2098 1117 0
c3 29 758 2769 2904 0
c4 0 50 602 2458 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-02-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54094 1557 18 5 0
c1 1623 5155 600 232 0
c2 172 2085 2304 1530 0
c3 11 713 2834 2812 0
c4 0 40 637 2891 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-02-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53499 1428 17 23 0
c1 1468 6142 633 238 0
c2 104 2237 2379 1374 0
c3 6 809 2555 2772 0
c4 0 83 1000 2754 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53483 1439 17 23 0
c1 1496 6143 635 253 0
c2 92 2219 2370 1418 0
c3 6 808 2556 2710 0
c4 0 90 1006 2757 0

Date: 2016-02-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52265 1621 9 14 0
c1 1399 6233 673 224 0
c2 60 2339 1970 1034 0
c3 0 751 2627 2533 0
c4 0 123 1141 2757 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52221 1589 8 14 0
c1 1453 6313 693 226 0
c2 50 2275 1986 1080 0
c3 0 753 2551 2458 0
c4 0 137 1182 2784 0

Date: 2016-02-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51085 1522 11 32 0
c1 1245 5792 1032 336 0
c2 42 1981 2179 1119 0
c3 6 766 2624 2416 0
c4 0 105 949 2955 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50853 1552 9 48 0
c1 1472 5639 1020 335 0
c2 53 2060 2148 1171 0
c3 0 802 2600 2290 0
c4 0 113 1018 3014 0

Date: 2016-03-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53306 1067 16 40 0
c1 1746 4236 848 398 0
c2 59 1856 2172 1109 0
c3 0 710 2528 2123 0
c4 0 82 827 2753 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53177 1103 20 49 0
c1 1853 4007 781 348 0
c2 81 1974 2149 1180 0
c3 0 756 2500 2026 0
c4 0 111 941 2820 0

Date: 2016-03-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 48499 1360 15 24 0
c1 2169 4749 644 225 0
c2 51 2202 2030 966 0
c3 2 804 2486 2283 0
c4 0 38 765 2559 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 48209 1373 18 27 0
c1 2409 4353 571 194 0
c2 87 2295 2056 1071 0
c3 16 1030 2263 2110 0
c4 0 102 1032 2655 0


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