Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2016-02-18

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2016-02-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53465 1186 11 16 0
c1 1591 5096 575 208 0
c2 78 2610 2887 1184 0
c3 0 782 2915 3270 0
c4 0 97 761 2398 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-02-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53947 1417 6 16 0
c1 1084 5154 754 285 0
c2 86 2020 2670 1312 0
c3 0 633 2921 3185 0
c4 0 56 840 2887 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-02-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52922 1620 20 37 0
c1 1588 5022 510 201 0
c2 104 2291 2127 1059 0
c3 0 539 2933 3209 0
c4 0 23 787 2857 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-02-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54133 1490 9 39 0
c1 1874 4063 383 255 0
c2 142 2263 2017 990 0
c3 7 467 2994 3104 0
c4 0 33 697 3605 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54177 1541 12 46 0
c1 1836 4043 379 246 0
c2 137 2235 2050 1028 0
c3 6 464 2937 3071 0
c4 0 33 722 3602 0

Date: 2016-02-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53963 1510 21 55 0
c1 2199 4882 365 235 0
c2 113 2498 1975 1170 0
c3 14 643 2929 3735 0
c4 0 43 699 2569 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53974 1537 16 61 0
c1 2179 4901 384 237 0
c2 121 2473 1988 1233 0
c3 15 618 2903 3658 0
c4 0 47 698 2575 0

Date: 2016-02-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53877 1477 21 13 0
c1 1616 5493 684 250 0
c2 206 2221 2281 1217 0
c3 13 748 2727 2730 0
c4 0 49 565 2710 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53377 1537 33 19 0
c1 2180 5261 644 252 0
c2 148 2382 2303 1273 0
c3 7 756 2727 2708 0
c4 0 52 571 2668 0

Date: 2016-02-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51286 1661 13 4 0
c1 1605 6047 776 261 0
c2 135 2004 2234 1558 0
c3 9 742 2565 2945 0
c4 0 31 722 2781 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51083 1739 18 10 0
c1 1851 5741 684 233 0
c2 92 2223 2340 1567 0
c3 9 756 2544 2980 0
c4 0 26 724 2759 0

Date: 2016-02-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52663 969 9 18 0
c1 1326 5647 663 299 0
c2 72 2409 2103 1100 0
c3 0 705 2757 2536 0
c4 0 121 1036 2616 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52355 998 17 25 0
c1 1654 5256 541 263 0
c2 49 2664 2171 1168 0
c3 3 818 2809 2529 0
c4 0 115 1030 2584 0


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