Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2016-02-04

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2016-01-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53620 1413 33 64 0
c1 1482 4843 696 349 0
c2 47 2195 3077 1897 0
c3 0 436 1765 3074 0
c4 0 118 590 3209 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-01-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55127 1278 34 31 0
c1 1111 4076 533 245 0
c2 29 1844 2929 1570 0
c3 23 424 2431 3047 0
c4 0 104 539 3215 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-02-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51219 1168 26 31 0
c1 1593 4668 397 221 0
c2 53 2055 2919 1485 0
c3 0 367 2328 3186 0
c4 0 105 670 3585 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-02-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54095 1371 20 42 0
c1 1300 5200 666 195 0
c2 46 1996 2913 1452 0
c3 0 369 2303 3311 0
c4 0 61 611 3898 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54039 1358 19 41 0
c1 1362 5208 680 213 0
c2 40 2005 2910 1488 0
c3 0 360 2291 3252 0
c4 0 66 613 3904 0

Date: 2016-02-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53058 1338 37 39 0
c1 990 5183 887 306 0
c2 44 1914 2747 1797 0
c3 0 306 2397 3215 0
c4 0 40 512 3020 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52995 1369 34 40 0
c1 1060 5144 891 305 0
c2 37 1910 2731 1826 0
c3 0 313 2388 3161 0
c4 0 45 536 3045 0

Date: 2016-02-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49346 1182 31 29 0
c1 731 3758 740 294 0
c2 40 1502 1743 805 0
c3 0 346 2381 2862 0
c4 0 31 472 2853 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 48885 1064 36 38 0
c1 1183 3702 741 292 0
c2 49 1652 1775 854 0
c3 0 368 2337 2739 0
c4 0 33 478 2920 0

Date: 2016-02-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54542 1244 27 23 0
c1 1535 4420 419 154 0
c2 56 2164 2912 1485 0
c3 0 582 3338 3370 0
c4 0 76 690 2492 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54082 1326 49 29 0
c1 1953 4032 401 150 0
c2 97 2466 2952 1550 0
c3 1 581 3310 3243 0
c4 0 81 674 2552 0

Date: 2016-02-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53465 1186 11 16 0
c1 1591 5096 575 208 0
c2 78 2610 2887 1184 0
c3 0 782 2915 3270 0
c4 0 97 761 2398 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52950 1521 50 24 0
c1 1995 4252 571 255 0
c2 157 2997 2771 1249 0
c3 32 897 2923 3007 0
c4 0 104 834 2541 0


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