Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2016-01-07

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2016-01-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55735 1380 19 33 0
c1 1987 6062 1447 487 0
c2 110 2476 3289 3229 0
c3 1 452 1425 5375 0
c4 0 66 332 2509 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-01-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54788 1255 20 24 0
c1 1065 5072 1156 740 0
c2 48 2238 2930 2786 0
c3 0 479 1401 4588 0
c4 0 132 353 3354 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-01-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 48713 1105 13 32 0
c1 1772 5425 831 438 0
c2 2 1958 3259 1676 0
c3 0 439 1769 3499 0
c4 0 111 793 3273 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-01-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55689 1116 13 34 0
c1 1569 6290 1458 538 0
c2 8 2269 3906 2423 0
c3 0 273 2583 3823 0
c4 0 50 1149 3466 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55818 1162 13 32 0
c1 1438 6255 1457 554 0
c2 10 2252 3923 2402 0
c3 0 281 2574 3782 0
c4 0 48 1142 3514 0

Date: 2016-01-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54616 1293 16 56 0
c1 1316 6001 1613 536 0
c2 16 2396 4083 2129 0
c3 0 297 2795 3457 0
c4 0 45 1336 3333 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54675 1372 17 54 0
c1 1258 5937 1627 546 0
c2 15 2420 4067 2119 0
c3 0 262 2779 3402 0
c4 0 41 1353 3390 0

Date: 2016-01-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53829 1198 24 49 0
c1 834 5929 1475 460 0
c2 21 2422 3045 2203 0
c3 0 472 2037 3582 0
c4 0 99 848 3334 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53571 1178 28 48 0
c1 1082 5881 1449 486 0
c2 31 2491 3144 2219 0
c3 0 447 1932 3465 0
c4 0 123 876 3410 0

Date: 2016-01-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53086 1166 34 27 0
c1 1083 5382 1193 467 0
c2 22 2226 2941 2167 0
c3 0 538 1756 3138 0
c4 0 124 421 2555 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53098 1254 39 22 0
c1 1050 5298 1257 505 0
c2 43 2179 2848 2164 0
c3 0 558 1764 3078 0
c4 0 147 437 2585 0

Date: 2016-01-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54848 1260 42 19 0
c1 1310 5453 1279 374 0
c2 38 2447 3231 2413 0
c3 0 450 1827 2656 0
c4 0 90 298 2266 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54855 1401 40 17 0
c1 1284 5201 1383 405 0
c2 57 2206 2892 2349 0
c3 0 750 2001 2640 0
c4 0 142 361 2317 0


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