Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2015-12-31

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2015-12-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56361 1070 42 26 0
c1 2390 6458 1521 500 0
c2 16 2658 3720 2763 0
c3 0 306 1509 4207 0
c4 0 10 93 1300 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-12-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55039 1384 40 30 0
c1 950 6400 2016 701 0
c2 36 2114 3402 2770 0
c3 0 260 1476 4585 0
c4 0 18 123 1370 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-12-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54520 1331 15 39 0
c1 1467 6219 1401 559 0
c2 60 2088 3059 2551 0
c3 0 340 1245 4255 0
c4 0 50 322 1629 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-12-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56709 1322 18 42 0
c1 1789 5573 1254 443 0
c2 112 2294 3209 2957 0
c3 0 493 1265 4661 0
c4 0 101 332 1977 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56671 1296 22 42 0
c1 1829 5675 1274 450 0
c2 110 2230 3182 2947 0
c3 0 473 1268 4614 0
c4 0 109 332 2027 0

Date: 2016-01-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55452 1271 19 42 0
c1 2156 5555 1493 735 0
c2 150 2424 3326 3618 0
c3 0 544 1523 5264 0
c4 0 139 304 3071 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55550 1282 19 40 0
c1 2076 5604 1483 757 0
c2 132 2345 3354 3584 0
c3 0 554 1484 5239 0
c4 0 148 325 3110 0

Date: 2016-01-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56680 1360 16 20 0
c1 1627 6076 1255 730 0
c2 7 2119 3366 2611 0
c3 0 306 1674 4250 0
c4 0 118 408 3397 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56250 1383 20 29 0
c1 2051 5862 1329 676 0
c2 13 2285 3283 2603 0
c3 0 320 1663 4322 0
c4 0 129 424 3378 0

Date: 2016-01-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54503 1285 10 25 0
c1 1803 6363 1266 641 0
c2 3 2097 3791 2553 0
c3 0 410 2074 3849 0
c4 0 101 1140 3076 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54431 1424 17 30 0
c1 1860 6077 1418 640 0
c2 18 2239 3661 2536 0
c3 0 347 1957 3775 0
c4 0 169 1228 3163 0

Date: 2016-01-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53394 1200 19 48 0
c1 1382 5502 1418 532 0
c2 7 2380 3744 1827 0
c3 0 273 2834 3281 0
c4 0 32 1441 3212 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53344 1444 22 53 0
c1 1406 5363 1599 506 0
c2 33 2246 3725 1998 0
c3 0 272 2502 3076 0
c4 0 62 1608 3267 0


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