Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2015-12-24

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2015-12-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 57118 1204 45 29 0
c1 2351 6134 1428 412 0
c2 21 1512 4460 3579 0
c3 0 318 2212 3887 0
c4 0 10 115 1374 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-12-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 58048 1211 35 21 0
c1 1674 6011 1826 675 0
c2 9 1104 3893 3596 0
c3 0 242 1932 4193 0
c4 0 3 109 1822 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-12-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56590 1261 41 27 0
c1 1988 6308 1918 636 0
c2 3 1659 4055 3146 0
c3 0 294 1294 4018 0
c4 0 9 84 1322 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-12-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56096 1098 37 48 0
c1 2493 5914 1543 491 0
c2 9 2289 4360 2704 0
c3 0 245 1302 4211 0
c4 0 9 92 1257 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56064 1086 36 49 0
c1 2526 5985 1549 482 0
c2 8 2233 4354 2689 0
c3 0 240 1288 4209 0
c4 0 11 107 1282 0

Date: 2015-12-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54761 1067 46 23 0
c1 1877 5663 1328 460 0
c2 40 2360 3144 2501 0
c3 0 302 1294 4008 0
c4 0 14 95 1082 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54702 1052 45 23 0
c1 1942 5784 1344 477 0
c2 34 2286 3100 2422 0
c3 0 272 1326 4049 0
c4 0 12 92 1103 0

Date: 2015-12-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 57446 1237 23 34 0
c1 1134 6183 1815 815 0
c2 56 2169 3500 2801 0
c3 0 272 1647 4893 0
c4 0 30 202 1529 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56672 1067 28 44 0
c1 1837 6297 1654 753 0
c2 127 2222 3721 2743 0
c3 0 277 1599 4941 0
c4 0 28 185 1591 0

Date: 2015-12-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56248 1380 22 42 0
c1 1708 6235 1395 591 0
c2 103 2192 3007 2829 0
c3 0 450 1341 4135 0
c4 0 55 320 1655 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55445 1282 33 59 0
c1 2456 6235 1303 562 0
c2 158 2304 3100 2827 0
c3 0 440 1392 4067 0
c4 0 51 257 1737 0

Date: 2016-01-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55735 1380 19 33 0
c1 1987 6062 1447 487 0
c2 110 2476 3289 3229 0
c3 1 452 1425 5375 0
c4 0 66 332 2509 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54908 1299 23 48 0
c1 2786 6015 1441 531 0
c2 139 2595 3120 3133 0
c3 0 475 1585 5208 0
c4 0 52 343 2713 0


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