Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2015-11-26

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2015-11-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 65770 1670 45 13 0
c1 2489 8747 1404 270 0
c2 3 2526 6226 3967 0
c3 0 244 1764 2731 0
c4 0 25 171 481 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-11-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 66047 1979 17 3 0
c1 2506 9131 2109 319 0
c2 3 1792 5645 3789 0
c3 0 454 2400 2751 0
c4 0 9 222 493 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-11-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 63030 1581 52 18 0
c1 3128 9567 2365 927 0
c2 36 1381 5553 3310 0
c3 0 339 2383 3027 0
c4 0 3 182 524 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-11-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59003 1361 81 19 0
c1 3443 9553 2578 1083 0
c2 35 1324 4454 3044 0
c3 0 278 2201 3211 0
c4 0 0 168 663 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59029 1371 82 19 0
c1 3418 9518 2523 1054 0
c2 34 1363 4428 3040 0
c3 0 264 2300 3237 0
c4 0 0 149 670 0

Date: 2015-11-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 60122 1195 71 27 0
c1 3201 8343 3054 853 0
c2 88 1312 3564 2491 0
c3 0 133 2141 3016 0
c4 0 0 245 705 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 60261 1234 74 28 0
c1 3064 8309 2991 826 0
c2 86 1323 3582 2439 0
c3 0 116 2195 3076 0
c4 0 1 233 723 0

Date: 2015-11-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 61610 1638 79 23 0
c1 1889 8505 3024 681 0
c2 60 865 3992 2480 0
c3 1 68 1657 3151 0
c4 0 0 158 758 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 60485 1453 116 30 0
c1 2972 8488 2873 618 0
c2 103 1058 4060 2618 0
c3 0 77 1718 3064 0
c4 0 0 143 763 0

Date: 2015-12-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 60479 1266 49 19 0
c1 3058 8447 3268 698 0
c2 70 1090 3961 2808 0
c3 0 50 1602 3282 0
c4 0 0 137 702 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59890 1306 49 19 0
c1 3562 8166 3219 771 0
c2 155 1298 3992 2930 0
c3 0 83 1652 3129 0
c4 0 0 105 660 0

Date: 2015-12-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59594 1309 73 27 0
c1 3227 7777 3108 769 0
c2 57 1317 4351 3086 0
c3 0 108 1767 3342 0
c4 0 0 178 793 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 58768 1356 70 26 0
c1 3863 7513 3351 911 0
c2 227 1476 4108 3147 0
c3 20 165 1825 3226 0
c4 0 1 123 707 0


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