Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2015-11-19

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2015-11-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 64470 1672 37 8 0
c1 3498 10140 1975 375 0
c2 89 1938 5033 4560 0
c3 0 175 1061 2638 0
c4 0 49 282 779 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-11-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 68110 1634 40 8 0
c1 1049 8916 2245 362 0
c2 45 2059 5138 4949 0
c3 0 158 1234 3120 0
c4 0 34 205 1039 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-11-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 68925 1657 72 29 0
c1 1975 8585 1702 375 0
c2 29 2229 6004 4485 0
c3 0 214 1470 2241 0
c4 0 22 156 599 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-11-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 68600 1738 57 19 0
c1 2326 8437 1476 337 0
c2 5 2380 6100 4550 0
c3 0 231 1627 3043 0
c4 0 31 147 478 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 68612 1805 57 19 0
c1 2314 8336 1382 319 0
c2 5 2407 6101 4438 0
c3 0 234 1726 3174 0
c4 0 35 141 477 0

Date: 2015-11-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 66718 1752 33 6 0
c1 3112 9081 1594 268 0
c2 7 2123 6324 3812 0
c3 0 334 1986 2694 0
c4 0 12 197 487 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 66950 1838 33 6 0
c1 2879 8899 1511 232 0
c2 8 2186 6288 3783 0
c3 0 365 2133 2758 0
c4 0 14 169 488 0

Date: 2015-11-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 62379 1758 34 20 0
c1 2696 9356 2400 573 0
c2 14 1491 5658 3494 0
c3 0 419 2413 2700 0
c4 0 12 228 484 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 62193 1942 34 19 0
c1 2848 9072 2179 500 0
c2 48 1567 6006 3572 0
c3 0 448 2306 2676 0
c4 0 7 208 504 0

Date: 2015-11-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 61456 1530 49 10 0
c1 2521 8045 2161 950 0
c2 40 1264 5053 2839 0
c3 0 281 2217 3120 0
c4 0 0 165 560 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 61347 1912 55 10 0
c1 2546 7447 2041 796 0
c2 110 1369 5075 2956 0
c3 14 392 2314 3124 0
c4 0 0 160 593 0

Date: 2015-11-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59999 1309 86 23 0
c1 3438 9143 3295 983 0
c2 71 1285 3995 2898 0
c3 0 181 2147 3074 0
c4 0 0 218 645 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 60329 1696 87 23 0
c1 2915 8582 2979 894 0
c2 229 1309 4004 3131 0
c3 35 329 2425 2888 0
c4 0 2 246 687 0


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