Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2015-11-05

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2015-10-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 73018 1838 4 0 0
c1 2687 12692 2040 118 0
c2 1 3226 4389 1355 0
c3 0 116 944 437 0
c4 0 91 283 502 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-11-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 73116 1774 11 4 0
c1 2542 11522 2308 641 0
c2 7 2949 5201 1564 0
c3 0 87 868 582 0
c4 0 62 228 465 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-11-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 71085 1789 11 1 0
c1 3202 10961 2136 610 0
c2 5 2375 5640 2579 0
c3 0 55 749 602 0
c4 0 57 215 419 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-11-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 69403 1703 9 1 0
c1 2902 10819 2208 509 0
c2 4 1669 6279 3316 0
c3 0 56 861 632 0
c4 0 73 166 392 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 69245 1752 9 1 0
c1 3060 10711 2173 491 0
c2 4 1723 6339 3347 0
c3 0 62 826 615 0
c4 0 72 176 396 0

Date: 2015-11-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 68500 1530 4 0 0
c1 2956 10137 2722 469 0
c2 13 1666 6157 3720 0
c3 0 121 1133 620 0
c4 0 57 224 480 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 68265 1556 4 0 0
c1 3194 10085 2646 437 0
c2 10 1692 6236 3780 0
c3 0 121 1103 606 0
c4 0 57 251 466 0

Date: 2015-11-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 63033 1764 23 0 0
c1 2314 10938 2195 387 0
c2 53 1956 5850 3968 0
c3 0 174 1209 739 0
c4 0 54 291 487 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 62241 1544 22 0 0
c1 3131 11102 2138 447 0
c2 28 2061 5993 3962 0
c3 0 126 1124 723 0
c4 0 53 291 449 0

Date: 2015-11-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 68609 1634 43 2 0
c1 3076 10799 1947 389 0
c2 88 1819 6069 4018 0
c3 0 155 1264 1651 0
c4 0 49 289 603 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 68402 1569 42 2 0
c1 3264 10912 1912 412 0
c2 107 1758 6169 4123 0
c3 0 174 1232 1562 0
c4 0 43 257 564 0

Date: 2015-11-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 64470 1672 37 8 0
c1 3498 10140 1975 375 0
c2 89 1938 5033 4560 0
c3 0 175 1061 2638 0
c4 0 49 282 779 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 64815 1787 63 6 0
c1 3010 9974 1862 445 0
c2 225 1902 5101 4599 0
c3 7 255 1098 2516 0
c4 0 56 264 794 0


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