Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2015-10-29

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2015-10-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 73753 1836 44 6 0
c1 3610 13231 2365 443 0
c2 4 1644 1815 822 0
c3 0 148 639 603 0
c4 0 93 306 380 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-10-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 77936 1735 38 3 0
c1 2332 13178 2126 248 0
c2 0 2201 2068 944 0
c3 0 234 527 428 0
c4 0 72 297 330 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-10-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 76507 1762 14 0 0
c1 2708 12156 2492 353 0
c2 0 2108 3240 1258 0
c3 0 159 644 422 0
c4 0 60 271 466 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-10-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 73448 1793 0 0 0
c1 2863 12927 1678 134 0
c2 3 2800 4040 1570 0
c3 0 87 838 451 0
c4 0 84 254 472 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 73453 1673 0 0 0
c1 2846 12632 1630 114 0
c2 15 3197 4127 1600 0
c3 0 105 803 420 0
c4 0 84 250 493 0

Date: 2015-10-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 71751 2180 12 5 0
c1 2591 12296 2327 278 0
c2 4 3240 4628 1372 0
c3 0 90 948 509 0
c4 0 61 291 523 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 71922 2105 10 5 0
c1 2405 11864 2208 274 0
c2 19 3732 4773 1392 0
c3 0 105 918 476 0
c4 0 61 297 540 0

Date: 2015-11-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 71221 1727 13 0 0
c1 2934 11071 2209 848 0
c2 2 2541 5440 2091 0
c3 0 63 807 547 0
c4 0 54 228 420 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 71743 1863 18 0 0
c1 2400 10202 1897 664 0
c2 14 3259 5724 2296 0
c3 0 78 815 498 0
c4 0 54 243 448 0

Date: 2015-11-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 71582 1664 11 2 0
c1 3120 10822 2182 495 0
c2 3 1813 6061 3054 0
c3 0 53 817 652 0
c4 0 61 186 395 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 72573 2006 13 2 0
c1 2132 9955 1707 371 0
c2 0 2306 6554 3163 0
c3 0 85 794 653 0
c4 0 61 189 409 0

Date: 2015-11-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 70943 1596 3 0 0
c1 2943 10550 2376 549 0
c2 6 1660 6389 3552 0
c3 0 70 852 675 0
c4 0 54 167 422 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 71714 2323 4 0 0
c1 2144 9451 1909 362 0
c2 34 1992 6762 3687 0
c3 0 110 937 735 0
c4 0 54 175 414 0


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