Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2015-04-09

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2015-04-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51707 1956 151 20 0
c1 636 2407 328 215 0
c2 202 1840 1081 715 0
c3 48 1279 2546 3561 0
c4 0 494 2192 4317 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-04-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52688 1882 181 30 0
c1 548 3146 266 166 0
c2 80 1857 1130 667 0
c3 59 1177 2482 3572 0
c4 101 657 1860 4229 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-04-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52312 2188 196 60 0
c1 608 3052 462 190 0
c2 114 2162 1132 741 0
c3 82 1255 2552 3181 0
c4 95 811 2039 4866 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-04-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51328 2257 162 63 0
c1 618 3018 444 190 0
c2 161 2349 1153 580 0
c3 103 1680 2774 3837 0
c4 92 1044 1666 4371 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51336 2246 161 59 0
c1 622 3004 446 235 0
c2 141 2413 1162 571 0
c3 112 1623 2798 3884 0
c4 91 1062 1632 4292 0

Date: 2015-04-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51502 2068 137 43 0
c1 668 2810 213 169 0
c2 169 2615 930 364 0
c3 123 2205 3027 4326 0
c4 63 998 1809 7377 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51468 2095 139 42 0
c1 700 2771 216 198 0
c2 152 2664 950 369 0
c3 141 2166 3071 4439 0
c4 64 1000 1740 7231 0

Date: 2015-04-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52821 2301 164 54 0
c1 519 2304 126 128 0
c2 100 2518 911 449 0
c3 108 2371 3063 3598 0
c4 65 1224 2347 5556 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52546 2273 182 55 0
c1 675 2215 159 171 0
c2 179 2638 922 439 0
c3 163 2360 3044 3737 0
c4 50 1232 2304 5383 0

Date: 2015-04-15:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2015-04-17:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available


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