Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2015-04-02

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2015-03-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50139 2213 99 25 0
c1 737 3581 427 262 0
c2 114 2187 1433 433 0
c3 7 1453 2549 2148 0
c4 0 540 1521 3568 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-03-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51172 1704 75 7 0
c1 505 3125 382 179 0
c2 63 1949 1445 609 0
c3 24 964 2317 2689 0
c4 0 518 1433 3131 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-03-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51872 1665 155 16 0
c1 587 3157 366 94 0
c2 152 1975 1290 587 0
c3 38 1076 2136 2667 0
c4 0 519 1528 3419 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-04-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52122 1846 143 11 0
c1 624 3357 381 178 0
c2 194 1804 1221 675 0
c3 43 1254 2440 3173 0
c4 0 484 1648 4140 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52114 1909 144 11 0
c1 626 3332 399 195 0
c2 189 1831 1239 633 0
c3 54 1208 2418 3224 0
c4 0 465 1633 4114 0

Date: 2015-04-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51131 2193 171 28 0
c1 655 3199 304 277 0
c2 210 1770 1089 721 0
c3 57 1150 2493 4244 0
c4 0 490 1834 4146 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51143 2245 168 26 0
c1 639 3189 315 315 0
c2 198 1809 1112 668 0
c3 73 1073 2501 4280 0
c4 0 486 1795 4127 0

Date: 2015-04-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51940 2089 155 36 0
c1 575 3042 422 178 0
c2 105 2018 1192 655 0
c3 68 1202 2617 2948 0
c4 92 670 1804 4208 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51666 2344 175 33 0
c1 743 2765 424 217 0
c2 278 1991 1163 572 0
c3 88 1381 2674 3058 0
c4 5 540 1754 4145 0

Date: 2015-04-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52635 2088 224 57 0
c1 622 2354 243 167 0
c2 124 2320 1020 791 0
c3 97 1407 2593 3526 0
c4 95 1002 1925 4430 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52304 2193 250 49 0
c1 822 2190 261 199 0
c2 333 2294 1071 760 0
c3 112 1614 2411 3542 0
c4 2 880 2012 4421 0

Date: 2015-04-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52027 2379 75 75 0
c1 617 3033 166 146 0
c2 151 2464 1157 343 0
c3 113 1931 3103 4254 0
c4 86 1154 1725 5510 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51696 2467 81 68 0
c1 806 2798 180 199 0
c2 340 2559 1195 371 0
c3 152 2038 3022 4360 0
c4 0 1099 1748 5330 0


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