Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-03-14

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64973 16833 701 1252 435 64 0 0
OW 52 246 117 550 306 83 0 0
VODI 0 101 68 482 705 144 1 0
ODI 0 33 28 199 739 329 2 0
CDI 0 3 21 220 826 1431 222 0
VCDI 0 0 5 76 295 3351 7734 6473
...date precedes bulletin

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65351 16003 719 1348 497 116 7 0
OW 52 204 107 587 307 120 4 0
VODI 0 89 49 435 743 229 7 0
ODI 0 31 29 211 625 500 4 0
CDI 0 5 16 144 744 1693 211 0
VCDI 0 4 8 60 220 2714 7713 7194
...date precedes bulletin

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65345 16228 672 1152 385 99 2 0
OW 53 167 147 639 306 95 0 0
VODI 0 30 52 629 584 247 2 0
ODI 0 1 9 183 716 318 13 0
CDI 0 0 0 79 737 1311 126 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 303 3336 8491 6641
...date precedes bulletin

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64928 16397 690 1232 511 115 0 0
OW 54 200 181 556 299 118 0 0
VODI 0 77 60 499 497 294 2 0
ODI 0 18 33 172 481 321 19 0
CDI 0 3 5 113 587 749 129 0
VCDI 0 0 2 40 376 3423 9054 6865
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64928 16433 744 1285 526 142 0 0
OW 54 165 130 548 321 124 0 0
VODI 0 76 57 454 498 290 4 0
ODI 0 18 30 167 451 335 28 0
CDI 0 3 9 118 546 711 132 0
VCDI 0 0 1 40 409 3418 9040 6865

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63849 17121 783 1240 452 156 0 0
OW 53 246 155 565 316 108 4 0
VODI 0 58 90 449 519 199 67 0
ODI 0 14 30 169 466 289 77 0
CDI 0 3 9 125 453 612 122 0
VCDI 0 0 0 65 738 4020 8201 7277
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63849 17176 802 1359 508 179 0 0
OW 53 192 153 492 301 135 10 0
VODI 0 56 81 412 520 184 87 0
ODI 0 15 20 154 430 313 76 0
CDI 0 3 10 112 416 572 127 0
VCDI 0 0 1 84 769 4001 8171 7277

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64130 16688 909 1336 381 127 24 0
OW 58 80 152 687 217 67 26 0
VODI 0 3 25 534 548 153 40 0
ODI 0 0 0 158 578 270 82 0
CDI 0 0 0 68 458 756 233 0
VCDI 0 0 0 11 708 3306 8033 8254
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64131 16606 859 1563 551 216 68 0
OW 57 144 119 432 295 170 69 0
VODI 0 18 90 391 465 246 125 0
ODI 0 3 15 193 329 295 106 0
CDI 0 0 3 128 315 459 190 0
VCDI 0 0 0 87 935 3293 7880 8254

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64754 16514 753 1237 392 162 19 0
OW 57 159 147 553 232 48 54 0
VODI 0 79 46 389 480 148 79 0
ODI 0 30 35 155 338 239 151 0
CDI 0 12 31 139 367 483 240 0
VCDI 0 0 10 155 824 2862 8726 8001
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64755 16276 714 1425 597 264 74 0
OW 56 251 116 315 302 178 104 0
VODI 0 149 77 290 353 255 173 0
ODI 0 63 39 169 245 263 163 0
CDI 0 39 33 177 234 415 325 0
VCDI 0 16 43 252 902 2567 8430 8001

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64856 16305 778 1222 493 176 59 0
OW 62 169 129 516 223 86 56 0
VODI 0 89 59 380 440 205 106 0
ODI 0 45 21 148 366 256 184 0
CDI 0 25 17 188 341 493 410 0
VCDI 0 15 17 158 695 2153 8282 8877
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64856 15840 687 1305 709 506 168 0
OW 62 418 127 378 197 160 152 0
VODI 0 138 116 300 366 199 214 0
ODI 0 63 37 158 277 230 216 0
CDI 0 43 19 162 220 322 373 1
VCDI 0 146 35 309 789 1952 7974 8876


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