Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-03-14

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64973 17054 718 1271 435 64 0 0
OW 52 271 127 563 307 83 0 0
VODI 0 129 79 504 711 144 1 0
ODI 0 48 39 220 769 329 2 0
CDI 0 6 27 253 850 1496 226 36
VCDI 0 0 5 127 474 4571 17155 72929
...date precedes bulletin

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65351 16225 735 1360 497 116 7 0
OW 52 237 115 598 307 120 4 0
VODI 0 119 54 454 746 229 7 0
ODI 0 52 38 232 638 500 4 0
CDI 0 8 27 170 758 1710 211 0
VCDI 0 4 8 105 330 3913 17184 73823
...date precedes bulletin

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65345 16432 695 1170 386 99 2 0
OW 53 188 152 655 310 95 0 0
VODI 0 48 66 647 596 247 2 0
ODI 0 2 26 205 731 322 13 0
CDI 0 0 0 119 769 1393 181 17
VCDI 0 0 0 38 526 4612 19313 71593
...date precedes bulletin

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64928 16512 727 1277 513 115 0 0
OW 54 201 195 585 304 118 0 0
VODI 0 77 60 537 506 294 2 0
ODI 0 18 33 196 493 323 19 0
CDI 0 3 5 129 612 787 177 93
VCDI 0 0 2 43 628 4927 21358 70197
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64928 16548 781 1331 528 142 0 0
OW 54 166 144 574 327 124 0 0
VODI 0 76 57 493 506 290 4 0
ODI 0 18 30 189 464 337 28 0
CDI 0 3 9 137 569 745 173 104
VCDI 0 0 1 43 662 4926 21351 70186

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63849 17239 829 1274 454 156 0 0
OW 53 275 162 583 316 108 4 0
VODI 0 83 101 467 522 199 67 0
ODI 0 25 39 188 470 289 77 0
CDI 0 10 17 152 467 624 154 82
VCDI 0 0 6 179 1093 5169 17906 73360
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63849 17305 848 1394 510 179 0 0
OW 53 217 162 508 301 135 10 0
VODI 0 77 91 429 521 184 87 0
ODI 0 27 31 174 433 313 76 0
CDI 0 6 20 143 436 585 159 84
VCDI 0 0 2 195 1121 5149 17876 73358

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64130 16801 944 1399 386 127 24 0
OW 58 101 158 713 221 67 26 0
VODI 0 14 37 553 559 153 40 0
ODI 0 1 17 175 594 271 84 2
CDI 0 0 7 100 484 803 281 47
VCDI 0 0 2 93 1030 4460 21474 70612
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64131 16703 889 1617 555 216 68 0
OW 57 167 126 454 298 170 69 0
VODI 0 38 99 413 469 246 125 0
ODI 0 8 27 208 341 295 107 0
CDI 0 1 17 148 345 493 239 43
VCDI 0 0 7 193 1266 4461 21321 70618

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64754 16573 790 1301 408 162 19 0
OW 57 160 157 587 237 48 54 0
VODI 0 79 46 427 491 148 79 0
ODI 0 30 35 174 361 240 163 5
CDI 0 12 31 156 409 608 369 33
VCDI 0 0 10 158 1110 4009 21548 71010
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64755 16330 741 1482 612 264 74 0
OW 56 257 131 343 306 178 104 0
VODI 0 149 82 334 364 255 173 0
ODI 0 63 39 192 260 263 167 0
CDI 0 39 33 197 271 498 447 37
VCDI 0 16 43 255 1203 3757 21267 71011

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64856 16307 786 1318 534 177 59 0
OW 62 169 129 548 240 87 56 0
VODI 0 89 59 394 475 232 118 0
ODI 0 45 21 149 405 304 215 2
CDI 0 25 17 188 405 636 586 23
VCDI 0 15 17 158 842 3173 21752 71375
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64856 15842 695 1391 757 506 168 0
OW 62 418 127 415 221 163 152 0
VODI 0 138 116 317 401 215 216 0
ODI 0 63 37 161 310 256 241 0
CDI 0 43 19 162 267 460 568 36
VCDI 0 146 35 309 945 3009 21441 71364


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