Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-03-07

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: dates bull:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64545 17603 798 1255 347 104 0 0
OW 52 662 187 582 222 34 0 0
VODI 0 286 139 570 548 100 1 0
ODI 0 148 69 294 665 224 13 0
CDI 0 52 65 291 663 716 280 26
VCDI 0 89 55 380 1627 8248 24194 60914
...date precedes bulletin

Date: dates bull:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65551 16362 633 1154 356 109 0 0
OW 52 545 100 471 300 46 0 0
VODI 0 340 170 616 473 128 6 0
ODI 0 158 34 461 608 214 20 0
CDI 0 71 73 289 736 855 247 53
VCDI 0 24 37 462 1410 7127 23286 63471
...date precedes bulletin

Date: dates bull:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65169 17024 699 1226 411 41 0 0
OW 52 287 179 553 330 36 0 0
VODI 0 105 110 561 700 121 0 0
ODI 0 17 38 262 780 310 3 0
CDI 0 4 9 329 912 1178 224 27
VCDI 0 2 9 137 778 6174 21519 66732
...date precedes bulletin

Date: dates bull:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64013 18076 760 1270 354 52 0 0
OW 52 292 138 622 307 68 0 0
VODI 0 130 82 521 733 135 0 0
ODI 0 41 61 222 750 264 0 0
CDI 0 3 25 274 1020 1188 223 41
VCDI 0 0 3 139 578 4816 17119 72676
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64013 18113 762 1316 399 74 0 0
OW 52 266 137 579 304 72 0 0
VODI 0 127 84 498 699 120 0 0
ODI 0 34 61 250 711 254 0 0
CDI 0 2 23 274 1044 1142 163 41
VCDI 0 0 2 131 585 4861 17179 72676

Date: dates bull:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64572 17081 808 1297 530 109 1 0
OW 52 239 126 583 335 99 3 0
VODI 0 107 68 504 655 218 5 0
ODI 0 51 36 211 645 461 20 0
CDI 0 12 23 219 792 1615 265 25
VCDI 0 3 6 96 372 4298 17580 72926
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64572 17109 824 1358 575 137 1 0
OW 52 204 111 559 301 94 3 0
VODI 0 118 63 458 659 217 9 0
ODI 0 51 40 210 617 453 27 0
CDI 0 8 23 239 821 1537 207 41
VCDI 0 3 6 86 356 4362 17627 72910

Date: dates bull:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65346 16104 717 1427 595 172 14 0
OW 53 302 113 501 303 140 9 0
VODI 0 130 47 452 556 288 7 0
ODI 0 35 50 183 610 510 6 0
CDI 0 6 21 184 756 1282 170 0
VCDI 0 0 8 143 532 4465 18184 72627
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65347 16189 709 1470 583 156 15 0
OW 52 235 113 421 376 147 10 0
VODI 0 122 60 476 563 328 5 0
ODI 0 30 51 207 597 554 8 0
CDI 0 1 15 175 741 1477 147 8
VCDI 0 0 8 141 492 4195 18205 72619

Date: dates bull:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64465 16414 1180 1346 634 217 0 0
OW 54 385 159 414 330 153 2 0
VODI 0 90 142 441 456 258 15 0
ODI 0 31 37 276 463 376 28 0
CDI 0 0 11 199 658 925 216 28
VCDI 0 0 0 71 639 4724 20957 70254
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64465 16464 1147 1409 699 204 0 0
OW 54 311 168 352 347 149 5 0
VODI 0 131 168 432 437 284 13 0
ODI 0 14 43 316 488 428 28 48
CDI 0 0 3 192 632 1089 302 140
VCDI 0 0 0 46 577 4499 20870 70094

Date: dates bull:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available


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