Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-02-01

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-01-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68129 15386 676 1099 232 85 0 0
OW 61 481 54 471 152 39 0 0
VODI 0 312 66 364 426 69 0 0
ODI 0 180 60 157 522 117 0 0
CDI 0 112 70 178 561 293 10 0
VCDI 0 52 64 328 1053 4436 7483 5322
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67820 15605 637 933 246 104 5 0
OW 61 550 74 460 241 68 4 0
VODI 0 372 51 370 398 66 14 0
ODI 0 213 57 157 451 119 24 0
CDI 0 155 69 137 502 254 22 0
VCDI 0 132 106 472 1162 3812 7650 5527
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67805 16311 620 760 212 73 0 0
OW 61 465 159 431 137 15 0 0
VODI 0 208 73 456 360 37 1 0
ODI 0 104 31 205 476 101 3 0
CDI 0 117 37 122 597 470 49 0
VCDI 0 71 68 372 1003 3437 7752 5901
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68810 14756 574 696 269 88 0 0
OW 61 474 168 507 140 17 0 0
VODI 0 200 68 486 383 52 0 0
ODI 0 99 25 208 549 175 9 0
CDI 0 95 28 135 538 533 134 0
VCDI 0 105 81 446 890 3809 8861 4631
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68810 14802 576 695 261 95 0 0
OW 61 437 158 484 140 15 0 0
VODI 0 201 76 501 391 49 0 0
ODI 0 103 27 220 536 180 12 0
CDI 0 83 27 126 525 517 150 0
VCDI 0 103 80 452 916 3818 8842 4631

Date: 2024-02-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66436 16137 728 1035 300 108 0 0
OW 60 456 157 498 235 15 0 0
VODI 0 209 57 426 433 87 0 0
ODI 0 120 22 181 519 226 2 0
CDI 0 96 43 130 465 647 108 0
VCDI 0 158 80 547 872 4160 7731 5616
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66436 16239 723 1037 309 110 0 0
OW 60 369 146 467 218 16 0 0
VODI 0 211 69 430 425 83 0 0
ODI 0 116 23 183 509 205 4 0
CDI 0 96 42 119 467 628 118 0
VCDI 0 145 84 581 896 4201 7719 5616

Date: 2024-02-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67629 15906 588 731 216 90 3 0
OW 114 408 158 574 110 14 3 0
VODI 0 181 49 576 436 25 0 0
ODI 0 104 37 200 686 96 0 0
CDI 0 87 75 294 576 974 61 0
VCDI 0 1 27 260 673 3784 7035 6319
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67679 15176 560 825 260 102 3 0
OW 64 501 90 468 155 24 3 0
VODI 0 397 79 350 369 65 0 0
ODI 0 191 38 204 421 127 3 0
CDI 0 140 34 164 584 562 99 0
VCDI 0 282 133 624 908 4103 6994 6319

Date: 2024-02-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66918 16259 597 931 247 87 9 0
OW 63 378 118 508 171 22 1 0
VODI 0 257 72 343 478 51 0 0
ODI 0 144 50 178 565 136 3 0
CDI 0 109 53 213 705 887 107 0
VCDI 0 105 54 489 991 3953 8481 4367
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66875 15612 537 864 283 106 9 0
OW 93 422 116 377 201 35 1 0
VODI 13 377 72 379 356 82 10 0
ODI 0 268 45 202 416 148 21 0
CDI 0 149 41 131 647 668 94 0
VCDI 0 424 133 709 1254 4097 8466 4367

Date: 2024-02-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65401 17160 692 983 379 72 0 0
OW 61 313 149 559 191 28 0 0
VODI 0 217 41 438 441 61 0 0
ODI 0 141 21 174 579 148 4 0
CDI 0 126 27 171 794 796 30 0
VCDI 0 163 78 339 927 3982 7832 5582
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65400 16605 592 914 448 83 0 0
OW 62 420 137 424 204 49 0 0
VODI 0 317 95 414 354 98 8 0
ODI 0 190 52 235 383 193 16 0
CDI 0 159 33 150 733 604 72 0
VCDI 0 429 99 527 1189 4060 7770 5582


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