Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-01-11

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70561 15504 739 641 202 105 53 0
OW 128 486 160 388 181 18 14 0
VODI 1 225 131 391 459 111 23 0
ODI 0 86 54 337 559 198 15 0
CDI 0 44 45 270 739 630 85 45
VCDI 0 2 43 288 1558 7940 25748 57841
...date precedes bulletin

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67712 17585 663 879 321 104 27 0
OW 60 417 145 366 228 36 5 0
VODI 0 188 94 389 385 108 7 0
ODI 0 66 53 226 420 317 11 0
CDI 0 30 34 247 653 817 99 45
VCDI 0 27 35 271 1370 8401 26118 58089
...date precedes bulletin

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70282 15536 656 953 251 76 18 0
OW 75 197 141 425 218 23 1 0
VODI 0 38 79 467 344 124 0 0
ODI 0 1 14 256 374 201 1 0
CDI 0 0 1 130 682 699 74 21
VCDI 0 0 0 35 1303 7828 24880 60644
...date precedes bulletin

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70523 15174 557 861 281 27 0 0
OW 60 241 174 388 224 12 0 0
VODI 0 66 86 418 317 93 6 0
ODI 0 0 17 254 381 169 14 0
CDI 0 0 0 153 555 638 70 56
VCDI 0 0 0 49 1172 7044 26396 60572
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70507 15218 564 863 278 29 0 0
OW 76 211 175 386 208 16 0 0
VODI 0 51 79 421 320 87 1 0
ODI 0 1 16 249 379 164 18 0
CDI 0 0 0 154 567 660 93 47
VCDI 0 0 0 50 1178 7027 26374 60581

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68823 16029 647 1095 339 80 25 0
OW 60 367 129 421 225 48 9 0
VODI 0 91 112 411 339 109 9 0
ODI 0 3 36 293 395 178 15 0
CDI 0 0 4 221 807 592 62 52
VCDI 0 0 1 105 1721 8771 24490 59934
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68823 16035 653 1082 339 75 25 0
OW 60 376 127 429 231 48 8 0
VODI 0 75 112 419 342 91 6 0
ODI 0 4 31 316 405 179 11 0
CDI 0 0 5 207 770 631 97 60
VCDI 0 0 1 93 1739 8754 24463 59926

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69610 15486 678 982 302 93 2 0
OW 60 218 250 532 136 16 0 0
VODI 0 45 77 601 301 41 0 0
ODI 0 2 24 282 539 148 1 0
CDI 0 0 7 168 816 943 83 4
VCDI 0 0 0 157 1832 8235 24275 60102
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69610 14772 624 963 389 106 2 0
OW 60 687 137 391 129 35 0 0
VODI 0 238 168 366 229 149 17 0
ODI 0 47 64 345 255 225 45 0
CDI 0 7 37 311 740 722 161 10
VCDI 0 0 6 346 2184 8239 24136 60096

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70156 14622 554 882 281 92 0 0
OW 61 431 192 436 145 16 0 0
VODI 0 170 101 462 337 91 0 0
ODI 0 80 40 254 337 140 32 0
CDI 0 50 38 183 564 605 93 13
VCDI 0 32 53 368 1761 8767 23224 61385
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70111 14198 517 853 345 109 0 0
OW 106 672 190 397 145 45 0 0
VODI 0 263 113 473 308 71 1 0
ODI 0 119 36 250 295 139 44 0
CDI 0 70 53 163 495 772 189 35
VCDI 0 63 69 449 1837 8575 23115 61363

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69751 14958 534 925 277 120 2 0
OW 61 507 144 328 135 26 7 0
VODI 0 274 139 394 210 86 22 0
ODI 0 122 55 222 279 153 35 0
CDI 0 107 36 179 532 494 177 39
VCDI 0 127 92 398 1480 7886 22822 62913
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69737 14024 479 879 319 141 14 0
OW 75 699 164 259 125 45 7 0
VODI 0 768 118 421 145 77 9 0
ODI 0 286 60 269 273 100 13 0
CDI 0 123 66 162 428 493 140 2
VCDI 0 195 113 456 1623 7909 22882 62950


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