Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-12-14

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-12-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 301 29 216 166 65 9 0
OW 0 3 9 78 70 19 0 0
VODI 0 1 1 50 135 33 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 30 122 77 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 15 139 273 33 2
VCDI 0 0 0 0 73 584 6647 22900
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-12-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1 327 15 198 172 78 0 0
OW 0 25 13 105 84 2 0 0
VODI 0 11 15 97 82 7 0 0
ODI 0 0 3 77 137 31 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 65 170 133 11 1
VCDI 0 0 0 40 218 759 5923 23282
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-12-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7 640 52 133 143 0 0 0
OW 0 210 80 99 52 0 0 0
VODI 0 154 47 98 51 0 0 0
ODI 0 32 42 121 80 1 2 0
CDI 0 7 13 126 173 49 40 17
VCDI 0 0 6 93 280 1173 5928 22133
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-12-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1 582 37 101 91 27 0 0
OW 0 230 40 75 38 61 0 0
VODI 0 147 64 163 40 53 0 0
ODI 0 36 21 145 68 57 0 0
CDI 0 13 13 117 124 119 27 8
VCDI 0 10 17 101 324 1104 6318 21710
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1 635 34 100 93 56 0 0
OW 0 147 29 65 27 20 0 0
VODI 0 178 82 161 44 52 0 0
ODI 0 30 17 159 66 68 3 0
CDI 0 14 11 112 127 122 30 7
VCDI 0 14 19 105 328 1103 6312 21711

Date: 2023-12-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7 402 10 22 103 0 0 0
OW 0 185 36 107 148 0 0 0
VODI 0 179 95 152 190 0 0 0
ODI 0 29 37 200 131 58 0 0
CDI 0 12 9 135 202 135 32 6
VCDI 0 9 15 70 432 1817 5711 21406
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7 398 12 76 146 0 0 0
OW 0 217 37 53 119 0 0 0
VODI 0 156 103 163 158 0 0 0
ODI 0 24 24 212 143 58 0 0
CDI 0 9 10 114 186 137 30 5
VCDI 0 12 16 68 454 1815 5713 21407

Date: 2023-12-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 371 9 19 71 40 0 0
OW 0 68 34 88 61 25 0 0
VODI 0 86 75 149 58 78 0 0
ODI 0 64 71 203 132 95 3 0
CDI 0 27 17 142 203 200 92 5
VCDI 0 16 20 136 474 1927 6417 20606
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 348 13 21 86 39 0 0
OW 0 87 34 106 40 28 0 0
VODI 0 157 114 184 78 94 0 0
ODI 0 31 46 230 186 139 17 0
CDI 0 8 7 112 210 163 79 8
VCDI 0 1 12 84 399 1902 6416 20603

Date: 2023-12-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1 361 10 11 71 0 0 0
OW 0 50 20 51 65 10 0 0
VODI 0 43 24 183 115 24 0 0
ODI 0 40 13 235 127 102 0 0
CDI 0 32 18 149 236 283 77 2
VCDI 0 27 24 171 573 1927 6538 20469
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1 308 5 11 87 0 0 0
OW 0 77 14 42 56 14 0 0
VODI 0 58 34 198 119 48 0 0
ODI 0 90 25 290 118 145 0 0
CDI 0 20 17 122 260 281 84 5
VCDI 0 0 14 137 547 1858 6531 20466

Date: 2023-12-22:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available


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