Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2023-11-23

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: dates bull:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8190 2603 147 248 47 0 0 0
OW 130 86 23 202 365 0 0 0
VODI 47 34 22 151 791 83 0 0
ODI 4 4 6 82 592 303 15 0
CDI 0 1 0 49 529 1097 42 17
VCDI 0 0 0 35 200 3371 6472 19878
...date precedes bulletin

Date: dates bull:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6510 3821 187 278 47 1 0 0
OW 30 235 30 147 233 130 0 0
VODI 8 101 25 185 371 302 1 0
ODI 2 7 1 108 428 432 75 0
CDI 0 0 0 40 322 735 224 18
VCDI 0 0 0 13 135 2105 6811 21768
...date precedes bulletin

Date: dates bull:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6265 4319 245 94 33 0 0 0
OW 26 163 75 178 0 0 0 0
VODI 10 55 24 269 170 2 0 0
ODI 0 7 1 114 503 155 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 31 496 947 66 9
VCDI 0 0 0 20 184 2670 7707 21027
...date precedes bulletin

Date: dates bull:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4446 5644 255 297 37 0 0 0
OW 8 231 72 217 20 0 0 0
VODI 0 73 39 294 99 12 0 0
ODI 0 2 14 105 356 173 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 44 301 622 17 7
VCDI 0 0 0 1 331 3680 7702 20767
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4445 5704 264 322 34 0 0 0
OW 9 184 66 207 20 0 0 0
VODI 0 59 38 272 118 8 0 0
ODI 0 3 12 119 303 206 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 36 346 630 18 10
VCDI 0 0 0 2 323 3643 7701 20764

Date: dates bull:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5373 4450 167 211 32 18 0 0
OW 57 285 94 220 46 4 0 0
VODI 19 66 43 268 135 19 0 0
ODI 2 6 15 133 253 38 0 0
CDI 0 0 3 35 307 465 10 0
VCDI 0 0 0 22 262 2946 7136 22726
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5383 4544 187 270 37 18 0 0
OW 54 200 77 183 55 2 0 0
VODI 14 57 42 237 120 13 0 0
ODI 0 6 15 136 225 51 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 56 265 436 19 0
VCDI 0 0 0 7 333 2970 7127 22726

Date: dates bull:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4135 5219 193 269 16 32 0 0
OW 40 354 100 200 61 0 0 0
VODI 1 125 71 265 149 8 0 0
ODI 0 40 9 141 238 19 9 0
CDI 0 13 13 66 274 109 54 2
VCDI 0 0 4 56 375 2994 7026 23186
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4149 5224 208 265 9 32 0 0
OW 27 346 91 201 73 0 0 0
VODI 0 129 65 297 157 4 0 0
ODI 0 36 10 123 243 14 11 0
CDI 0 16 12 64 239 120 59 3
VCDI 0 0 4 47 392 2992 7019 23185

Date: dates bull:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2951 5271 443 429 56 30 0 0
OW 19 280 70 276 114 16 0 0
VODI 0 155 72 270 161 120 0 0
ODI 0 32 16 161 160 186 6 0
CDI 0 1 10 56 227 347 50 17
VCDI 0 0 0 53 390 2504 8020 22897
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2927 5078 446 480 129 49 0 0
OW 38 315 64 213 122 77 0 0
VODI 5 231 56 244 117 164 0 0
ODI 0 100 25 157 134 166 0 0
CDI 0 15 18 79 125 207 15 1
VCDI 0 0 2 72 481 2540 8061 22913

Date: dates bull:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available


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