Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-09-07

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-09-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9462 7917 243 92 0 0 0 0
OW 0 165 194 357 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 14 63 1489 393 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 365 4001 525 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 2179 4062 533 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-09-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11251 6081 143 86 3 0 0 0
OW 0 235 235 339 34 0 0 0
VODI 0 20 74 1614 270 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 701 4010 141 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 20 3191 3600 11 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 23 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-09-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11225 6379 198 95 0 0 0 0
OW 0 69 223 380 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 5 1725 321 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 396 5145 377 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1343 3720 475 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-09-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9503 7983 307 105 3 0 0 0
OW 0 139 210 426 18 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 39 1498 528 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 376 3640 1740 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 44 1600 3418 456 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 40 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9503 8007 337 163 4 0 0 0
OW 0 116 180 385 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 8 39 1445 610 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 431 3417 1622 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 25 1732 3536 456 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 45 0 0 0

Date: 2023-09-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12039 5522 172 119 0 0 0 0
OW 0 279 235 398 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 24 67 1650 378 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 4 485 4373 845 20 0
CDI 0 0 0 28 1651 3694 89 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12039 5597 224 192 0 0 0 0
OW 0 194 177 402 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 33 72 1535 399 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 5 533 4086 899 16 0
CDI 0 0 0 18 1917 3640 93 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2023-09-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11346 6805 157 85 0 0 0 0
OW 0 230 303 447 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 22 2035 233 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 226 6240 213 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 573 3163 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11344 6530 145 135 1 0 0 0
OW 2 392 172 314 24 0 0 0
VODI 0 94 142 1477 255 0 0 0
ODI 0 20 22 829 3702 196 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 38 3067 3180 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2023-09-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10455 7577 376 128 0 0 0 0
OW 0 373 275 570 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 8 40 1736 198 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 353 5527 318 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 995 3147 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10435 7310 338 195 5 0 0 0
OW 20 438 162 327 22 0 0 0
VODI 0 183 171 1347 184 0 0 0
ODI 0 27 20 834 3348 230 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 84 3167 3232 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0

Date: 2023-09-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12644 5555 120 93 0 0 0 0
OW 0 545 304 499 25 0 0 0
VODI 0 17 59 1477 307 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 387 4667 608 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 1538 3234 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12644 5147 155 156 12 0 0 0
OW 0 619 111 359 41 0 0 0
VODI 0 313 169 1113 314 0 0 0
ODI 0 38 48 764 3006 291 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 67 3164 3537 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 14 0 0


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