Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-08-31

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-08-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6795 9442 496 280 3 0 0 0
OW 0 165 320 819 18 0 0 0
VODI 0 11 43 1233 763 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 212 3024 175 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 1002 6155 552 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 445 122 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-08-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7967 8731 295 215 3 0 0 0
OW 0 231 307 716 22 0 0 0
VODI 0 25 55 1180 851 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 265 2886 117 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 2501 4832 567 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 300 7 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-08-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8659 8439 455 212 3 0 0 0
OW 0 27 144 549 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 4 1636 319 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 252 4711 54 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 2435 3799 261 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 28 76 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-08-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8852 8356 350 141 4 0 0 0
OW 0 97 187 420 23 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 38 1574 319 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 410 4558 11 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 2612 4123 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8852 8327 354 183 6 0 0 0
OW 0 122 171 377 22 0 0 0
VODI 0 11 48 1384 348 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 601 4367 13 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 2773 4120 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0

Date: 2023-09-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11624 5751 165 83 3 0 0 0
OW 0 220 212 349 27 0 0 0
VODI 0 17 65 1531 332 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 530 4174 168 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 2991 3337 483 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 8 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11624 5663 173 91 7 0 0 0
OW 0 269 200 310 23 0 0 0
VODI 0 56 64 1391 403 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 5 700 3922 186 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 3172 3317 483 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 0

Date: 2023-09-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11530 6024 198 72 0 0 0 0
OW 0 69 251 353 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 3 1831 285 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 198 5676 174 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1243 4042 94 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 16 16 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11530 5656 135 96 14 0 0 0
OW 0 381 220 225 31 0 0 0
VODI 0 56 94 1393 399 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 3 721 3835 268 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 19 2932 3942 110 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 17 0 0

Date: 2023-09-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11763 5830 190 99 0 0 0 0
OW 0 116 214 397 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 22 1588 417 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 380 4430 1047 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 1218 3800 523 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 15 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11763 5433 98 96 10 0 0 0
OW 0 429 197 227 30 0 0 0
VODI 0 84 117 1332 273 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 14 730 3694 413 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 91 2069 4442 523 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 9 7 0 0

Date: 2023-09-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11971 5600 186 100 3 0 0 0
OW 0 232 212 400 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 21 60 1686 354 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 448 4117 1117 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 48 1606 3752 150 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11971 5085 91 90 12 0 0 0
OW 0 603 149 161 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 148 194 1298 160 0 0 0
ODI 0 16 22 958 3413 562 0 0
CDI 0 1 4 175 2495 4307 150 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0


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