Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2023-08-24

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-08-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 110395 26041 1429 1226 21 0 0 0
OW 16 965 807 2313 86 0 0 0
VODI 0 271 267 5443 975 4 0 0
ODI 0 8 3 1207 8262 1029 17 0
CDI 0 0 0 28 3864 11711 953 15
VCDI 0 4 0 0 13 1605 5505 2565
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-08-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 114156 23321 1140 928 6 0 0 0
OW 44 1445 845 1839 104 1 0 0
VODI 29 304 429 4746 1416 27 0 0
ODI 0 5 7 1257 7068 2034 97 0
CDI 0 0 0 59 2979 9755 4052 10
VCDI 0 4 0 3 10 413 5407 3108
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-08-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 116190 23936 1601 1213 2 0 0 0
OW 5 275 644 2053 42 0 0 0
VODI 0 16 65 4738 976 8 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 355 7833 499 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 2064 11780 2242 19
VCDI 0 3 1 0 3 763 7074 2644
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-08-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 118583 22300 1348 1366 20 0 0 0
OW 5 529 733 2012 94 0 0 0
VODI 0 22 87 3836 1171 7 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 646 6933 551 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 2822 12184 2477 0
VCDI 0 3 1 0 2 2652 6392 264
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 118584 22428 1419 1471 27 0 0 0
OW 4 390 613 1823 93 0 0 0
VODI 0 33 135 3783 1164 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 3 776 6786 602 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 2970 12106 2621 0
VCDI 0 3 1 0 2 2683 6248 264

Date: 2023-08-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 116798 24924 1177 1116 19 0 0 0
OW 2 758 803 1939 66 0 0 0
VODI 0 31 128 3374 1340 19 0 0
ODI 0 0 3 776 6409 684 0 0
CDI 0 1 1 23 3724 12186 1953 0
VCDI 0 2 0 0 18 5098 3676 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 116798 25011 1340 1281 19 0 0 0
OW 2 631 534 1654 71 0 0 0
VODI 0 71 230 3342 1304 12 0 0
ODI 0 0 7 919 6246 736 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 32 3915 12032 2036 0
VCDI 0 3 1 0 21 5207 3593 0

Date: 2023-08-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 120819 22492 1274 630 11 0 0 0
OW 0 122 687 1778 27 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 7 4349 651 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 389 9654 424 0 0
CDI 0 2 1 24 3555 12728 420 0
VCDI 0 1 0 0 28 1906 5045 23
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 120817 21877 1199 945 29 0 0 0
OW 2 647 569 1603 58 0 0 0
VODI 0 88 191 3349 1312 27 0 0
ODI 0 2 9 1207 5629 730 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 66 6434 9315 2173 12
VCDI 0 3 1 0 464 4987 3292 11

Date: 2023-08-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 123114 21156 1018 572 12 0 0 0
OW 0 564 678 1328 33 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 35 4049 557 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 976 8801 278 0 0
CDI 0 5 1 30 5083 11205 581 0
VCDI 0 1 0 0 61 3032 3876 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 123112 20262 898 858 34 0 0 0
OW 2 1024 453 1247 67 1 0 0
VODI 0 430 361 3029 1227 47 0 0
ODI 0 4 19 1687 5108 561 2 0
CDI 0 4 0 134 7585 8395 1212 0
VCDI 0 2 1 0 526 5513 3243 0

Date: 2023-09-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 124544 20256 689 498 33 0 0 0
OW 0 1006 655 1105 47 0 0 0
VODI 0 22 159 3528 847 1 0 0
ODI 0 2 1 1106 7628 875 0 0
CDI 0 5 2 59 4785 11199 879 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 134 2835 4148 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 124543 19129 655 816 64 0 0 0
OW 1 1401 381 934 111 0 0 0
VODI 0 744 431 2544 1263 73 0 0
ODI 0 11 36 1705 4509 927 0 0
CDI 0 5 3 297 6481 8567 1469 0
VCDI 0 1 0 0 1046 5343 3558 0


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPage.sh ma. 18. sep. 15:48:02 +0000 2023 on arcval

 
See Met Privacy