Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-08-10

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-08-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4635 6319 256 226 0 0 0 0
OW 0 282 346 1218 23 0 0 0
VODI 0 14 39 1911 1188 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 163 4798 1076 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 888 6972 210 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1001 506 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-08-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4380 6707 304 222 3 0 0 0
OW 0 413 394 1255 42 0 0 0
VODI 0 38 117 2019 1117 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 268 4401 1095 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 1299 6978 70 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 702 245 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-08-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4529 7564 464 254 2 0 0 0
OW 0 162 311 858 18 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 21 2417 711 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 104 6026 945 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 774 6194 498 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 14 214 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-08-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5685 6839 414 361 3 0 0 0
OW 0 328 370 719 69 0 0 0
VODI 0 4 101 2302 778 28 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 214 4785 2202 261 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 717 5138 703 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 56 5 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5685 6933 478 409 6 0 0 0
OW 0 231 341 793 68 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 66 1964 779 37 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 430 4613 2041 263 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 886 5296 701 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 50 5 0

Date: 2023-08-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6081 6896 281 401 9 0 0 0
OW 2 594 244 705 151 2 0 0
VODI 0 131 227 2032 767 102 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 524 4316 2259 395 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1455 4141 328 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 39 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6083 7035 313 478 15 0 0 0
OW 0 455 207 708 136 0 0 0
VODI 0 131 232 1751 768 94 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 725 4126 2229 358 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1653 4200 365 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 20 0 0

Date: 2023-08-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6278 8272 276 167 0 0 0 0
OW 0 62 300 729 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 4 2745 401 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 154 5526 282 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 506 5969 172 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 58 170 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6278 7319 257 378 8 0 0 0
OW 0 698 172 628 146 6 0 0
VODI 0 318 151 1684 683 141 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 1105 3860 2367 103 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1743 3798 239 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2023-08-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5649 9052 369 266 0 0 0 0
OW 0 162 219 912 23 0 0 0
VODI 0 5 49 2388 481 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 218 5069 577 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 583 5685 301 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 45 23 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5643 7958 324 376 42 2 0 0
OW 6 902 149 702 91 22 0 0
VODI 0 359 164 1665 693 155 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 1041 3756 2405 63 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1574 3729 261 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2023-08-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5854 9136 333 221 0 0 0 0
OW 0 372 374 616 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 67 147 2260 396 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 266 4615 897 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 520 5672 278 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 10 34 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5839 7976 335 374 23 0 0 0
OW 15 1016 251 462 135 8 0 0
VODI 0 580 243 1419 644 221 51 0
ODI 0 3 25 1108 3345 2472 169 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1395 3880 93 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0


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