Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2023-08-10

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-08-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 104810 21963 1104 1579 98 0 0 0
OW 0 409 609 3391 259 0 0 0
VODI 0 18 45 5937 3311 14 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 327 10027 1674 7 0
CDI 0 0 0 51 2298 14275 2951 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 26 2280 6963 2620
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-08-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 107454 20439 1196 1433 79 0 0 0
OW 0 915 747 3219 321 0 0 0
VODI 0 67 183 5714 3218 12 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 585 8467 2151 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 61 2681 15124 2229 96
VCDI 0 0 0 3 24 3695 6314 619
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-08-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 108709 21176 1382 1460 75 0 0 0
OW 0 309 553 2422 118 0 0 0
VODI 0 14 43 6397 1837 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 299 11017 1374 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 44 2669 14574 2275 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 21 1344 4950 3983
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-08-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 109969 21109 1228 1436 50 0 0 0
OW 0 587 780 2434 183 0 0 0
VODI 0 40 140 6047 1855 29 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 520 9215 2675 261 0
CDI 0 0 0 43 2761 13962 2178 5
VCDI 0 0 0 1 28 1259 5734 2518
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 109969 21214 1336 1612 49 0 0 0
OW 0 476 687 2391 196 0 0 0
VODI 0 46 125 5610 1757 39 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 826 9081 2506 269 0
CDI 0 0 0 41 2981 14082 2174 2
VCDI 0 0 0 1 28 1298 5730 2521

Date: 2023-08-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 113067 19008 998 1436 53 0 0 0
OW 2 1005 728 2672 257 2 0 0
VODI 0 180 306 5459 1653 102 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 1307 8241 2679 395 0
CDI 0 0 0 75 3590 12553 2000 15
VCDI 0 0 0 5 19 1225 6482 1534
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 113068 19243 1088 1635 70 0 0 0
OW 1 738 603 2626 233 0 0 0
VODI 0 211 341 5029 1719 94 0 0
ODI 0 1 0 1588 7963 2635 358 0
CDI 0 0 0 71 3809 12601 1987 12
VCDI 0 0 0 5 19 1231 6532 1537

Date: 2023-08-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 113821 21073 1195 837 19 0 0 0
OW 0 275 959 2250 61 0 0 0
VODI 0 4 10 6959 966 30 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 496 10629 476 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 1787 13983 536 4
VCDI 0 0 0 4 20 889 6927 2829
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 113821 19422 1043 1491 57 0 0 0
OW 0 1417 695 2336 242 6 0 0
VODI 0 513 425 4375 1600 141 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 2247 7330 2700 103 0
CDI 0 0 0 102 4208 11626 1562 9
VCDI 0 0 0 4 45 905 5798 2824

Date: 2023-08-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 113492 22544 1365 1094 24 0 0 0
OW 23 492 714 2681 77 0 0 0
VODI 0 202 149 5698 1058 16 0 0
ODI 0 11 6 909 9096 885 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 29 3130 12250 851 28
VCDI 0 0 0 4 46 865 6818 2491
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 113509 20545 993 1459 79 2 0 0
OW 6 1907 754 2106 188 22 0 0
VODI 0 750 456 4153 1407 155 0 0
ODI 0 26 27 2587 6712 2569 66 0
CDI 0 21 4 106 5012 10560 1398 81
VCDI 0 0 0 4 33 708 6205 2438

Date: 2023-08-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 110395 26041 1429 1226 21 0 0 0
OW 16 965 807 2313 86 0 0 0
VODI 0 271 267 5443 975 4 0 0
ODI 0 8 3 1207 8262 1029 17 0
CDI 0 0 0 28 3864 11711 953 15
VCDI 0 4 0 0 13 1605 5505 2565
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 110396 24172 1177 1594 77 0 0 0
OW 15 1968 792 1824 276 8 0 0
VODI 0 1085 461 3826 1286 221 51 0
ODI 0 44 66 2888 5912 2564 185 0
CDI 0 16 10 83 5653 10218 1465 71
VCDI 0 4 0 2 17 1338 4774 2509


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