Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-08-03

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-07-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 395 8772 647 519 13 0 0 0
OW 1 128 237 1172 60 0 0 0
VODI 0 30 19 1678 1889 18 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 68 5909 2299 10 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 196 5447 2551 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 12 10 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-07-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2814 6883 433 332 16 0 0 0
OW 1 295 323 1180 50 0 0 0
VODI 0 25 41 1933 2264 17 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 94 5014 2861 24 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 349 5148 1951 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 14 17 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-08-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3753 6508 466 329 10 0 0 0
OW 0 92 236 1066 18 0 0 0
VODI 0 6 7 2096 858 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 0 120 5499 709 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 553 6762 1237 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 134 1403 219
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-08-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4611 6111 321 260 9 0 0 0
OW 1 208 271 1216 51 0 0 0
VODI 0 23 24 1774 1294 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 110 4875 1178 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 703 6599 878 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 326 1229 10
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4611 6114 416 367 19 0 0 0
OW 1 190 173 1198 55 0 0 0
VODI 0 38 27 1681 1256 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 114 4745 934 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 857 6879 882 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 290 1225 10

Date: 2023-08-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4422 6609 265 209 5 0 0 0
OW 0 333 390 1227 33 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 48 2009 1201 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 168 4582 1086 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 780 6869 537 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 934 361 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4422 6628 307 367 13 0 0 0
OW 0 311 352 1080 34 0 0 0
VODI 0 12 44 1928 1007 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 239 4593 829 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 954 7164 548 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 898 351 0

Date: 2023-08-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2874 8782 479 219 4 0 0 0
OW 0 93 289 982 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 2455 617 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 67 6565 424 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1182 6615 103 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 22 301 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2874 8348 368 445 11 0 0 0
OW 0 472 309 1026 82 0 0 0
VODI 0 55 92 1829 1083 13 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 415 4675 525 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 2525 6027 221 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 496 183 0

Date: 2023-08-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4932 7336 453 384 3 0 0 0
OW 0 191 345 817 29 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 25 2418 750 8 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 141 5151 2034 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 708 5741 474 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 76 65 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4932 6661 290 400 23 0 0 0
OW 0 716 349 861 81 0 0 0
VODI 0 151 184 1973 899 9 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 526 4324 710 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1314 7046 506 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 94 33 0

Date: 2023-08-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5173 7418 461 399 5 0 0 0
OW 0 492 294 708 89 1 0 0
VODI 0 24 198 2246 709 71 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 628 4105 2415 377 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 971 4823 423 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 42 10 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5121 6470 365 514 90 0 0 0
OW 46 957 184 652 126 1 0 0
VODI 6 504 360 1825 680 128 0 0
ODI 0 3 44 990 3402 928 137 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1581 6276 673 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 19 0 0


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