Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-07-20

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-07-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1566 3964 453 557 81 1 0 0
OW 0 245 231 912 204 2 0 0
VODI 0 29 43 1325 1029 31 0 0
ODI 0 4 14 297 5784 1347 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 86 2617 7355 402 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 115 2405 982 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-07-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1597 4467 434 409 55 0 0 0
OW 0 335 260 957 255 0 0 0
VODI 0 64 64 1415 1356 26 0 0
ODI 0 5 13 449 5989 1345 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 93 2338 6389 825 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 55 2088 799 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-07-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1698 5425 591 366 27 0 0 0
OW 0 91 213 1132 74 1 0 0
VODI 0 1 18 1856 1346 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 195 7061 437 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 45 1758 8762 57 0
VCDI 0 1 0 0 0 836 84 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-07-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2650 5274 500 372 30 0 0 0
OW 0 186 265 1276 86 0 0 0
VODI 0 18 20 1688 1782 11 0 0
ODI 0 2 1 207 6455 468 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 42 1709 8330 14 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 576 119 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2650 5307 493 524 37 0 0 0
OW 0 154 269 1138 119 0 0 0
VODI 0 18 23 1704 1796 9 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 172 6303 515 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 47 1805 8226 15 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 635 119 0

Date: 2023-07-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2287 6094 474 556 25 0 0 0
OW 0 203 215 1518 188 0 0 0
VODI 0 39 15 1101 2628 31 0 0
ODI 0 0 6 136 5440 887 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 39 1548 7983 123 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 463 81 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2287 6132 515 759 54 0 0 0
OW 0 167 167 1258 210 0 0 0
VODI 0 36 23 1174 2605 35 0 0
ODI 0 1 5 116 5371 949 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 43 1589 7827 122 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 553 83 0

Date: 2023-07-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2501 6339 580 459 11 0 0 0
OW 3 50 151 956 46 0 0 0
VODI 0 10 3 1771 612 12 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 125 8157 416 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 758 8661 226 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 79 139 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2501 6251 558 944 81 0 0 0
OW 3 116 155 1250 440 11 0 0
VODI 0 32 17 1001 3055 137 2 0
ODI 0 0 4 93 4467 1327 38 0
CDI 0 0 0 35 1540 7154 269 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 539 61 0

Date: 2023-07-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2935 6406 537 387 13 0 0 0
OW 2 59 149 1117 56 0 0 0
VODI 0 14 7 1563 1333 24 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 127 6704 1572 26 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 403 6607 1949 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 43 41 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2934 6281 539 1065 84 1 0 0
OW 3 149 124 1151 650 23 0 0
VODI 0 46 22 872 3333 223 24 0
ODI 0 3 8 73 3750 1755 87 0
CDI 0 0 0 40 689 6019 1833 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 225 73 0

Date: 2023-07-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 395 8772 647 519 13 0 0 0
OW 1 128 237 1172 60 0 0 0
VODI 0 30 19 1678 1889 18 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 68 5909 2299 10 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 196 5447 2551 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 12 10 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 393 8680 779 1348 149 2 0 0
OW 3 163 87 1157 761 26 0 0
VODI 0 76 28 846 3521 436 10 0
ODI 0 12 10 57 3205 2268 157 0
CDI 0 0 0 29 430 4929 2390 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 115 14 0


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