Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-07-13

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-07-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1527 2455 339 545 57 0 0 0
OW 0 115 137 948 294 9 0 0
VODI 0 27 49 1083 1258 85 4 0
ODI 0 0 1 161 2677 530 7 0
CDI 0 0 1 89 1682 9673 531 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 212 4888 2698 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-07-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1574 2733 312 465 59 0 0 0
OW 0 254 233 989 368 28 0 0
VODI 0 86 75 899 1604 65 2 0
ODI 0 12 6 127 2381 396 9 0
CDI 0 6 13 100 3621 7985 293 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 40 4646 2701 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-07-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1558 3365 568 568 60 0 0 0
OW 0 68 106 825 187 0 0 0
VODI 0 12 11 904 1054 24 0 0
ODI 0 2 8 127 4854 976 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 46 1603 9844 874 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 219 1760 2456 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-07-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1555 3646 540 597 89 0 0 0
OW 0 168 168 922 189 2 0 0
VODI 0 24 22 1338 890 26 0 0
ODI 0 7 11 245 5421 1279 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 81 2114 8031 829 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 229 1966 1691 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1555 3684 543 683 115 0 0 0
OW 0 123 153 833 223 4 0 0
VODI 0 30 34 1288 1029 25 0 0
ODI 0 8 12 298 5105 1212 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 81 2230 7911 904 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 230 2152 1616 0

Date: 2023-07-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1568 4221 439 525 59 0 0 0
OW 0 279 258 957 229 0 0 0
VODI 0 35 61 1366 1149 43 0 0
ODI 0 2 11 340 6105 1204 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 97 2514 6569 788 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 180 2058 1024 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1568 4293 444 611 142 0 0 0
OW 0 213 257 823 232 0 0 0
VODI 0 25 49 1438 1217 43 0 0
ODI 0 6 19 312 5698 1095 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 101 2801 6394 782 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 146 2342 1030 0

Date: 2023-07-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1654 5171 513 262 30 0 0 0
OW 0 115 281 954 89 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 9 2089 836 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 157 7583 365 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 35 910 9474 376 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 490 686 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1654 4809 409 436 162 0 0 0
OW 0 389 288 707 249 7 0 0
VODI 0 64 81 1726 1481 28 0 0
ODI 0 25 21 493 5608 1111 0 0
CDI 0 1 4 134 1881 7103 329 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 67 2081 733 0

Date: 2023-07-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1993 5479 537 424 30 0 0 0
OW 0 95 226 1222 83 0 0 0
VODI 0 5 17 1868 1531 5 0 0
ODI 0 1 2 158 6913 385 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 43 1527 8777 2 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 683 74 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1993 4958 322 557 163 4 0 0
OW 0 467 288 766 252 13 0 0
VODI 0 114 138 1847 1901 38 0 0
ODI 0 37 22 402 5680 687 0 0
CDI 0 4 12 143 2019 6798 1 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 71 2310 75 0

Date: 2023-07-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1974 6088 591 455 29 0 0 0
OW 0 153 244 1522 83 0 0 0
VODI 0 27 17 1497 2023 12 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 178 6153 523 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 38 2187 7676 15 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 461 136 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1974 5358 375 719 250 3 0 0
OW 0 530 232 691 394 17 0 0
VODI 0 307 210 1731 2358 142 0 0
ODI 0 55 18 378 4868 780 0 0
CDI 0 18 17 165 2542 5503 3 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 63 2227 148 0


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