Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2023-07-13

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-07-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91051 19029 1301 2099 260 36 0 0
OW 6 232 297 1895 648 38 0 0
VODI 0 40 72 2117 3040 150 16 0
ODI 0 0 2 437 6079 1132 35 0
CDI 0 0 1 253 4892 20915 1066 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1271 21148 7490 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-07-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92042 18809 1252 2095 319 14 0 0
OW 7 371 381 2109 788 50 0 0
VODI 0 103 111 2073 3572 132 2 0
ODI 0 12 8 484 5814 889 11 0
CDI 0 6 13 374 9264 17340 462 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 779 21458 5904 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-07-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89464 22209 1875 2033 320 2 0 0
OW 3 91 206 1824 331 5 0 0
VODI 0 13 19 3040 2515 60 0 0
ODI 0 2 8 530 10502 1711 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 107 6141 26192 1154 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 458 11297 4932 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-07-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91576 21260 1476 1950 325 3 0 0
OW 1 216 304 2339 408 20 0 0
VODI 0 29 49 3271 2853 115 0 0
ODI 0 7 12 608 10980 2052 7 0
CDI 0 0 1 151 6862 23879 1165 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 537 11373 3217 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91576 21288 1473 2136 374 1 0 0
OW 1 178 291 2108 525 23 0 0
VODI 0 38 64 3185 2850 122 0 0
ODI 0 8 14 736 10294 1909 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 154 7387 23740 1271 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 535 11647 3110 0

Date: 2023-07-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95940 18182 1310 1816 246 8 0 0
OW 0 385 428 2746 479 15 0 0
VODI 0 52 112 3248 3299 127 0 0
ODI 0 2 15 756 11845 1629 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 164 10220 18926 1018 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 663 11092 2315 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95940 18218 1294 2164 341 8 0 0
OW 0 356 441 2352 526 19 0 0
VODI 0 41 101 3234 3280 141 0 0
ODI 0 6 29 806 10901 1494 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 174 11091 18715 1067 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 613 11420 2265 0

Date: 2023-07-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95700 19858 1445 1461 208 19 0 0
OW 0 148 481 2229 184 6 0 0
VODI 0 6 10 4734 1896 32 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 400 18497 826 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 48 4331 24442 804 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 7 7224 2052 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95700 19285 1292 2332 380 21 0 0
OW 0 590 466 2320 737 38 0 0
VODI 0 110 149 3156 3985 123 0 0
ODI 0 26 25 872 10937 1905 21 0
CDI 0 1 4 191 8930 18981 886 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 154 11481 1949 0

Date: 2023-07-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96589 20231 1440 1921 211 17 0 0
OW 0 181 451 2793 252 1 0 0
VODI 0 32 24 4047 3310 43 0 0
ODI 0 3 2 594 16536 1151 7 0
CDI 0 2 0 81 4381 23514 872 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 26 6506 1830 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96589 19464 1154 2762 429 21 0 0
OW 0 741 506 2435 896 24 0 0
VODI 0 197 209 3158 4377 153 0 0
ODI 0 41 36 836 10776 1620 35 0
CDI 0 6 12 245 8117 18846 769 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 121 10568 1905 0

Date: 2023-07-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96333 21689 1488 2025 133 18 0 0
OW 0 336 493 3375 304 9 0 0
VODI 0 39 32 3795 4121 43 0 0
ODI 0 2 0 857 15124 1034 2 0
CDI 0 2 0 92 5950 22007 438 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 86 4950 2271 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96333 20741 1232 3381 509 23 0 0
OW 0 884 439 2232 959 31 0 0
VODI 0 365 304 3006 4778 285 0 0
ODI 0 58 21 1093 10298 1389 14 0
CDI 0 20 17 422 8885 16633 274 0
VCDI 0 0 0 10 289 9700 2423 0


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