Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2023-06-22

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-06-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76784 11246 742 2450 233 0 0 0
OW 20 20 32 1229 559 7 0 0
VODI 0 1 13 547 1382 35 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 42 1055 397 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 910 2464 815 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 73 3067 4969
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76738 11369 752 2893 342 0 0 0
OW 18 18 24 1261 680 3 0 0
VODI 0 2 4 361 1204 70 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 34 794 552 36 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 625 2145 1157 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 215 4695 3097
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76867 11601 757 2861 234 0 0 0
OW 17 13 51 1237 307 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 2 636 869 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 25 1491 191 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 744 2222 193 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 13 841 4338 3576
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77730 11170 868 3186 127 0 0 0
OW 15 23 32 1071 278 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 3 438 964 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 26 1251 294 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 40 910 2053 172 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 8 423 3440 4571
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77730 11160 854 3348 152 0 0 0
OW 15 33 45 882 240 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 4 448 907 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 43 1284 230 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 40 948 2090 166 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 7 454 3446 4571

Date: 2023-06-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78414 11095 864 3171 153 0 0 0
OW 12 9 26 780 360 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 365 992 28 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 51 1048 464 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 53 926 1857 288 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 5 1121 4180 2837
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78414 11075 850 3206 212 0 0 0
OW 12 29 40 747 288 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 360 942 20 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 58 1074 382 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 49 963 1949 244 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 5 1119 4224 2837

Date: 2023-06-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79935 10705 889 2155 70 0 0 0
OW 10 6 37 615 134 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 631 610 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 80 1919 145 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 984 2062 134 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 974 5583 1400
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79936 10696 885 2565 188 0 0 0
OW 9 14 39 529 328 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 3 293 993 75 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 47 939 525 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 68 1269 1383 240 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1198 5477 1400

Date: 2023-06-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78449 12583 806 2193 94 0 0 0
OW 9 6 16 631 203 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 456 952 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 124 1613 318 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 59 1119 1440 48 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 11 1549 5622 799
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78449 12575 785 2561 324 0 0 0
OW 9 14 36 450 477 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 260 952 69 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 64 898 492 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 128 1320 1234 256 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 21 1512 5414 799

Date: 2023-06-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80536 11302 727 1720 105 0 0 0
OW 8 11 23 704 253 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 381 1090 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 126 1492 250 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 130 1337 1144 51 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 35 2335 4752 585
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80536 11298 715 2061 466 0 0 0
OW 8 11 25 492 490 0 0 0
VODI 0 4 10 236 889 122 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 73 945 208 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 198 1369 1118 114 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 153 2284 4689 585


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