Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2023-06-01

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-05-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72052 15285 972 2168 447 14 0 0
OW 59 196 143 1172 479 52 0 0
VODI 0 138 56 825 1301 149 12 0
ODI 0 109 40 400 1726 632 91 0
CDI 0 84 62 549 2763 4598 1463 3
VCDI 0 33 40 312 1337 11567 33169 32550
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-05-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73676 14087 969 2133 477 21 0 0
OW 56 218 117 1173 648 42 1 0
VODI 0 185 62 815 1448 145 33 0
ODI 0 145 68 417 1689 752 152 0
CDI 0 146 72 583 2427 4985 2151 1
VCDI 0 62 50 384 1476 9769 35670 29743
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-05-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74790 13779 1067 2239 344 1 0 0
OW 51 164 136 1428 675 18 0 0
VODI 0 95 69 1015 1774 264 4 0
ODI 0 73 44 425 2497 1011 56 0
CDI 0 67 37 385 2591 8913 1698 4
VCDI 0 2 1 109 930 6501 40465 23326
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74286 14849 1085 2625 403 10 0 0
OW 50 230 123 1279 942 146 5 0
VODI 0 174 76 894 1565 310 153 0
ODI 0 94 36 474 2155 993 496 3
CDI 0 107 49 380 2294 6506 4041 2
VCDI 0 1 4 226 1058 8393 37574 22957
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74286 14881 1098 2843 528 7 0 0
OW 50 219 111 1080 828 135 1 0
VODI 0 162 77 880 1545 352 149 0
ODI 0 89 34 467 2141 917 468 3
CDI 0 103 50 384 2308 6479 4143 2
VCDI 0 1 3 224 1067 8468 37508 22957

Date: 2023-06-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75148 14277 1058 2822 749 33 0 0
OW 50 252 133 1194 1031 136 1 0
VODI 0 197 73 815 1824 451 40 0
ODI 0 94 42 446 2446 1533 150 1
CDI 0 82 54 470 2621 6969 3028 13
VCDI 0 8 4 238 942 6198 36371 25054
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75148 14331 1077 3018 804 29 0 0
OW 50 210 120 975 939 110 2 0
VODI 0 185 71 828 1866 440 49 0
ODI 0 100 38 444 2389 1477 172 1
CDI 0 78 53 487 2633 6998 3155 13
VCDI 0 6 5 233 982 6266 36212 25054

Date: 2023-06-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74445 15984 1184 2320 585 10 0 0
OW 50 204 210 1460 501 39 0 0
VODI 0 75 36 1420 1529 82 2 0
ODI 0 45 37 425 4026 670 24 0
CDI 0 0 10 305 2325 8189 1362 1
VCDI 0 0 0 68 407 5261 39135 24622
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74450 15684 1126 2919 1045 96 0 0
OW 45 274 153 948 928 172 8 0
VODI 0 185 95 818 1968 668 131 0
ODI 0 92 38 496 2167 1586 933 1
CDI 0 67 59 556 2323 5725 3347 10
VCDI 0 6 6 261 942 6004 36104 24612

Date: 2023-06-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75228 15661 1167 3051 631 3 0 0
OW 44 175 145 1386 691 19 0 0
VODI 0 98 57 1097 2184 104 3 0
ODI 0 42 48 497 3398 956 17 0
CDI 0 17 18 534 2917 7919 1944 0
VCDI 0 0 0 101 833 7132 37994 20937
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75229 15130 1022 3364 1293 24 0 0
OW 43 351 124 911 1282 129 4 0
VODI 0 263 109 874 2269 620 51 0
ODI 0 123 82 500 2329 2172 270 0
CDI 0 103 75 697 2422 6042 2870 1
VCDI 0 23 23 320 1059 7146 36763 20936

Date: 2023-06-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75700 15892 1334 3016 451 3 0 0
OW 42 192 140 1599 899 21 0 0
VODI 0 136 66 1149 2723 148 6 0
ODI 0 49 58 475 3328 876 40 0
CDI 0 36 28 401 3571 7463 1696 29
VCDI 0 3 11 110 977 6200 37994 20186
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75701 15297 1204 3366 1406 26 0 0
OW 41 371 107 1020 1632 67 8 0
VODI 0 303 100 822 2696 513 28 0
ODI 0 160 84 557 2695 2277 126 0
CDI 0 139 116 729 2334 5556 2676 89
VCDI 0 38 26 256 1186 6272 36898 20126


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPage.sh ma. 18. sep. 12:31:37 +0000 2023 on arcval

 
See Met Privacy