Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2023-05-18

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-05-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70801 14659 615 856 160 39 0 0
OW 64 90 131 594 175 23 1 0
VODI 0 14 30 550 519 66 0 0
ODI 0 1 3 176 757 270 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 38 1221 1547 554 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 143 3512 5531 5956
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-05-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70165 14947 701 1133 175 63 9 0
OW 59 89 105 600 248 28 2 0
VODI 0 21 20 398 662 105 4 0
ODI 0 0 1 117 637 268 67 0
CDI 0 0 0 33 916 1500 760 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 268 3396 5749 5854
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-05-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70411 15211 692 993 152 49 2 0
OW 58 19 72 671 161 16 7 0
VODI 0 5 3 447 674 37 7 0
ODI 0 0 0 121 826 130 10 0
CDI 0 0 0 19 1214 1898 321 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 96 2533 6590 5655
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-05-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70707 14876 715 1170 218 53 0 0
OW 62 24 51 569 331 33 0 0
VODI 0 2 2 361 664 68 11 0
ODI 0 0 0 98 720 171 28 0
CDI 0 0 0 28 985 2530 575 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 215 2362 5797 5672
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70707 14877 716 1247 258 57 0 0
OW 62 23 50 523 343 34 0 0
VODI 0 2 2 325 631 60 11 0
ODI 0 0 0 96 693 172 39 0
CDI 0 0 0 35 939 2331 533 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 269 2563 5828 5672

Date: 2023-05-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70614 14969 749 1209 342 42 18 0
OW 62 22 63 614 403 47 7 0
VODI 0 0 12 339 598 102 14 0
ODI 0 0 0 120 698 190 28 0
CDI 0 0 0 46 1413 2202 491 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 311 2836 5231 5308
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70614 14972 754 1322 471 49 22 0
OW 62 19 58 512 322 46 3 0
VODI 0 0 12 329 578 98 15 0
ODI 0 0 0 119 692 173 37 0
CDI 0 0 0 46 1281 2086 509 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 421 2967 5203 5308

Date: 2023-05-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71310 14377 748 1141 309 40 0 0
OW 57 17 72 699 327 26 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 465 667 50 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 91 1362 111 17 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 1406 3193 236 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 192 1343 8314 2508
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71310 14333 725 1497 648 80 0 0
OW 57 54 60 423 334 49 9 0
VODI 0 7 32 224 577 107 23 0
ODI 0 0 3 162 610 244 64 0
CDI 0 0 0 111 1336 1859 738 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 758 2424 7734 2508

Date: 2023-05-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71534 14384 713 1385 443 9 0 0
OW 54 22 40 683 316 15 0 0
VODI 0 2 13 410 639 56 0 0
ODI 0 0 3 170 1116 177 21 0
CDI 0 0 0 152 1536 2791 565 0
VCDI 0 0 0 98 201 1740 6967 2845
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71533 14259 654 1575 741 44 0 0
OW 55 89 51 369 372 39 6 0
VODI 0 51 34 329 468 128 28 0
ODI 0 9 28 175 570 348 108 0
CDI 0 0 2 253 1390 1572 719 0
VCDI 0 0 0 197 710 2657 6692 2845

Date: 2023-05-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72052 14081 695 1520 416 13 0 0
OW 59 67 35 591 316 37 0 0
VODI 0 62 8 340 641 63 8 0
ODI 0 70 10 137 982 273 39 0
CDI 0 46 26 130 1448 2307 829 0
VCDI 0 12 31 128 220 1965 5879 3564
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72051 13825 655 1598 698 72 1 0
OW 60 120 43 390 297 52 18 0
VODI 0 125 10 341 464 149 60 0
ODI 0 96 14 158 712 346 194 0
CDI 0 129 35 167 1341 1717 613 0
VCDI 0 43 48 192 511 2322 5869 3564


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPageSector.sh ma. 18. sep. 12:05:04 +0000 2023 on arcval

 
See Met Privacy