Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2023-05-11

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-05-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68339 15524 710 1528 438 72 0 0
OW 84 14 41 408 416 37 0 0
VODI 0 0 6 223 697 163 3 0
ODI 0 0 0 99 692 372 48 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 741 2732 633 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 181 2806 6092 5985
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-05-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68775 15458 715 1389 340 40 0 0
OW 71 24 39 495 399 30 0 0
VODI 0 1 4 242 807 97 10 0
ODI 0 0 0 61 830 270 75 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 797 2347 746 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 213 3516 5669 5636
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-05-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69788 15111 696 1076 145 37 0 0
OW 71 18 72 604 187 19 0 0
VODI 0 0 6 422 675 26 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 78 1112 164 13 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 1025 2651 350 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 267 2640 6256 5582
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-05-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70365 14850 666 932 165 31 0 0
OW 65 60 115 638 169 18 0 0
VODI 0 4 25 528 549 43 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 135 938 191 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 1074 2213 415 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 154 3145 6189 5407
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70365 14868 682 1033 191 30 0 0
OW 65 42 97 542 183 21 0 0
VODI 0 4 27 497 487 43 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 155 906 197 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 19 1121 2290 427 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 161 3060 6174 5407

Date: 2023-05-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70120 15018 686 1047 210 46 9 0
OW 59 36 109 657 270 13 3 0
VODI 0 4 15 454 626 80 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 115 713 356 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 38 1088 1389 618 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 258 3650 5479 5928
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70120 15019 696 1174 229 48 8 0
OW 59 33 99 546 300 12 4 0
VODI 0 6 12 422 546 76 0 0
ODI 0 0 3 108 721 399 10 0
CDI 0 0 0 61 1100 1354 584 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 269 3645 5509 5928

Date: 2023-05-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70154 15113 723 889 134 53 1 0
OW 57 43 128 751 128 19 6 0
VODI 0 0 1 580 645 36 7 0
ODI 0 0 0 71 1113 90 7 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 1129 2367 144 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 109 2161 6275 6160
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70152 15094 718 1125 212 77 9 0
OW 59 55 105 567 233 31 6 0
VODI 0 7 25 398 567 78 9 0
ODI 0 0 4 142 644 170 97 0
CDI 0 0 0 64 1171 943 501 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 431 3427 5818 6160

Date: 2023-05-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70881 14910 688 1026 170 40 0 0
OW 63 18 82 603 201 28 0 0
VODI 0 4 4 448 627 55 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 132 711 128 12 0
CDI 0 0 0 42 1332 1952 397 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 307 2195 6350 5694
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70879 14766 590 1039 295 78 0 0
OW 65 139 113 468 234 46 0 0
VODI 0 27 67 358 511 102 32 0
ODI 0 0 4 238 453 205 88 0
CDI 0 0 0 142 1189 914 562 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 666 3053 6077 5694

Date: 2023-05-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70726 14859 755 1156 250 33 1 0
OW 62 10 57 634 354 29 1 0
VODI 0 1 2 361 643 104 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 114 762 155 16 0
CDI 0 0 0 27 1184 2635 552 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 136 2544 5399 5538
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70726 14778 629 1200 420 69 2 0
OW 62 86 135 392 342 53 0 0
VODI 0 6 50 355 459 160 29 0
ODI 0 0 0 232 474 226 96 0
CDI 0 0 0 105 1228 1664 614 0
VCDI 0 0 0 8 406 3328 5228 5538


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