Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-05-11

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-05-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 156 46 37 0 0 0 0
OW 0 43 10 50 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 29 5 10 11 12 0 0
ODI 0 17 2 14 12 39 8 0
CDI 0 9 12 18 68 213 92 3
VCDI 0 0 2 33 125 2021 11485 17483
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-05-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 166 38 26 0 0 0 0
OW 0 31 18 49 18 0 0 0
VODI 0 23 6 9 12 9 0 0
ODI 0 10 6 14 9 30 1 0
CDI 0 1 10 29 65 171 83 0
VCDI 0 0 0 23 120 1304 11946 17855
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-05-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 293 26 12 0 0 0 0
OW 0 21 7 22 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 16 10 8 22 3 0 0
ODI 0 6 7 18 18 44 0 0
CDI 0 0 6 62 113 326 37 16
VCDI 0 0 0 1 49 1416 12247 17269
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-05-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 261 44 22 0 0 0 0
OW 0 16 11 21 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 4 14 19 12 8 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 21 24 25 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 51 134 249 136 22
VCDI 0 0 0 9 62 1664 12647 16595
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 257 44 35 1 0 0 0
OW 0 21 13 8 16 1 0 0
VODI 0 3 12 22 4 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 22 31 26 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 48 136 264 128 31
VCDI 0 0 0 8 53 1650 12655 16586

Date: 2023-05-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 282 28 18 0 0 0 0
OW 0 28 5 14 18 0 0 0
VODI 0 26 4 8 11 3 0 0
ODI 0 12 11 13 37 18 53 0
CDI 0 8 7 28 146 351 153 9
VCDI 0 0 2 33 110 1885 11578 17183
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 285 29 26 6 0 0 0
OW 0 25 5 7 17 1 0 0
VODI 0 27 4 9 12 4 0 0
ODI 0 12 10 12 38 20 61 0
CDI 0 7 7 27 146 350 152 16
VCDI 0 0 2 33 103 1882 11571 17176

Date: 2023-05-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 368 20 19 1 0 0 0
OW 0 29 3 12 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 14 16 30 35 4 0 0
ODI 0 9 3 24 89 53 15 0
CDI 0 2 8 43 168 688 177 10
VCDI 0 0 0 0 16 1408 11000 17806
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 312 17 16 0 0 0 0
OW 0 31 2 7 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 33 2 20 21 3 0 0
ODI 0 23 3 18 61 36 55 0
CDI 0 19 15 23 118 254 225 19
VCDI 0 4 11 44 110 1860 10912 17797

Date: 2023-05-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 405 15 36 6 0 0 0
OW 0 21 5 22 11 1 0 0
VODI 0 9 13 24 72 0 0 0
ODI 0 9 5 25 108 8 20 0
CDI 0 6 6 40 274 365 282 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 216 3121 11395 15558
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 313 11 19 3 0 0 0
OW 0 33 0 10 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 33 2 27 55 1 27 0
ODI 0 35 2 20 103 1 52 0
CDI 0 32 20 33 204 103 194 7
VCDI 0 4 9 42 312 3390 11424 15551

Date: 2023-05-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 391 31 38 10 0 0 0
OW 0 24 6 28 32 1 0 0
VODI 0 14 11 47 72 4 0 0
ODI 0 5 8 34 123 36 5 0
CDI 0 6 2 41 281 533 139 0
VCDI 0 0 0 17 323 4365 12459 12996
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 298 16 24 15 0 0 0
OW 0 43 3 6 37 0 0 0
VODI 0 39 15 25 70 1 39 0
ODI 0 31 1 37 91 11 103 0
CDI 0 26 20 46 155 261 299 0
VCDI 0 3 3 67 473 4666 12162 12996


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