Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2023-05-11

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-05-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68339 15680 756 1574 438 72 0 0
OW 84 57 51 486 441 37 0 0
VODI 0 29 11 288 763 192 15 0
ODI 0 17 2 188 859 519 77 0
CDI 0 9 12 124 1411 3740 1103 4
VCDI 0 0 2 115 839 7568 30001 51145
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-05-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68775 15624 753 1421 340 40 0 0
OW 71 55 57 588 425 30 0 0
VODI 0 24 10 325 892 131 15 0
ODI 0 10 6 167 981 507 129 0
CDI 0 1 10 155 1269 3129 1397 12
VCDI 0 0 11 198 1250 7311 30996 49933
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-05-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69788 15404 722 1137 149 37 0 0
OW 71 39 82 709 217 19 0 0
VODI 0 16 16 566 820 34 2 0
ODI 0 6 7 188 1384 320 23 0
CDI 0 0 6 257 1691 3924 637 31
VCDI 0 0 0 151 1188 6969 33484 46954
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-05-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70365 15111 710 1013 177 31 0 0
OW 65 77 135 704 233 18 0 0
VODI 0 10 48 636 733 55 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 243 1267 332 9 0
CDI 0 0 3 206 1896 3575 921 30
VCDI 0 0 0 215 821 9058 31808 46541
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70365 15125 726 1130 207 30 0 0
OW 65 64 117 591 276 22 0 0
VODI 0 9 50 603 672 58 1 0
ODI 0 0 2 266 1212 330 13 0
CDI 0 0 3 226 1966 3693 988 54
VCDI 0 0 0 201 794 8936 31736 46517

Date: 2023-05-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70120 15314 722 1123 216 46 9 0
OW 59 80 126 767 332 13 3 0
VODI 0 54 47 576 853 98 0 0
ODI 0 12 24 257 1092 535 74 0
CDI 0 8 13 221 1894 2645 1226 16
VCDI 0 14 24 285 1107 9159 29816 48068
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70120 15320 732 1272 245 48 8 0
OW 59 68 111 635 370 13 4 0
VODI 0 58 43 537 751 99 0 0
ODI 0 15 34 262 1103 595 88 0
CDI 0 7 12 255 1926 2548 1205 23
VCDI 0 14 24 268 1099 9193 29823 48061

Date: 2023-05-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70154 15546 779 987 136 53 1 0
OW 57 83 160 937 184 19 6 0
VODI 0 50 50 903 953 55 8 0
ODI 0 21 34 308 1801 362 42 0
CDI 0 2 8 189 1977 4866 712 31
VCDI 0 0 0 39 401 8261 35133 41740
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70152 15407 743 1232 232 77 9 0
OW 59 104 119 679 288 37 6 0
VODI 0 70 55 563 810 190 14 0
ODI 0 48 25 305 991 533 219 0
CDI 0 36 38 294 1844 2144 1526 35
VCDI 0 37 51 290 1287 10635 34128 41736

Date: 2023-05-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70881 15466 772 1149 176 40 0 0
OW 63 103 120 863 245 31 0 0
VODI 0 85 81 774 964 92 3 0
ODI 0 20 23 448 1185 340 54 0
CDI 0 6 6 255 2215 3731 948 1
VCDI 0 0 0 65 954 8721 33633 42535
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70879 15142 640 1119 301 83 0 0
OW 65 225 134 607 269 55 0 0
VODI 0 128 100 576 768 186 78 0
ODI 0 81 37 463 862 497 211 0
CDI 0 63 36 505 1951 2096 1216 30
VCDI 0 41 55 284 1588 10038 33133 42506

Date: 2023-05-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70726 15392 844 1256 263 33 1 0
OW 62 117 123 912 466 30 1 0
VODI 0 88 85 795 1040 175 3 0
ODI 0 12 30 417 1303 476 62 7
CDI 0 23 10 227 1910 3988 1588 27
VCDI 0 0 2 86 954 9879 37113 36522
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70726 15163 687 1284 449 69 2 0
OW 62 195 171 539 438 53 0 0
VODI 0 108 119 645 786 248 97 0
ODI 0 76 32 543 953 520 338 5
CDI 0 58 44 373 1834 2678 1817 72
VCDI 0 32 41 309 1476 11013 36514 36479


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