Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-04-27

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-04-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 88 19 16 1 0 0 0
OW 0 2 8 44 15 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 0 43 37 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 20 49 10 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 17 95 52 53 8
VCDI 0 0 0 7 205 893 8450 21946
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-04-23:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2023-04-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 83 33 71 1 0 0 0
OW 0 5 7 45 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 21 3 58 29 5 0 0
ODI 0 21 5 47 44 35 2 0
CDI 0 6 17 64 72 166 55 0
VCDI 0 0 2 107 293 2012 11496 17271
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-04-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 93 32 60 0 0 0 0
OW 0 17 16 31 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 69 15 23 22 3 0 0
ODI 0 50 1 7 28 45 6 0
CDI 0 50 8 13 67 191 64 0
VCDI 0 38 18 69 332 2236 9052 19421
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 98 42 67 0 0 0 0
OW 0 32 9 24 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 64 12 22 22 9 0 0
ODI 0 42 1 9 25 53 7 0
CDI 0 56 9 13 65 215 63 0
VCDI 0 25 17 68 336 2198 9052 19421

Date: 2023-04-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 93 33 25 0 0 0 0
OW 0 42 9 49 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 57 11 32 22 2 0 0
ODI 0 49 2 6 10 24 1 0
CDI 0 53 7 7 65 104 84 0
VCDI 0 34 17 55 272 1691 9102 20117
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 100 35 37 0 0 0 0
OW 0 52 9 33 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 51 10 37 15 4 1 0
ODI 0 46 2 7 26 23 0 0
CDI 0 55 6 5 74 131 89 0
VCDI 0 24 17 55 256 1663 9097 20117

Date: 2023-05-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 221 48 29 0 0 0 0
OW 0 57 13 42 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 27 7 38 30 0 0 0
ODI 0 22 11 14 37 22 1 0
CDI 0 0 6 48 146 318 40 7
VCDI 0 0 0 0 20 1159 8476 21238
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 121 36 36 1 0 0 0
OW 0 62 14 25 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 38 11 37 34 2 0 0
ODI 0 27 1 13 10 4 2 0
CDI 0 36 3 7 22 94 72 13
VCDI 0 43 20 53 159 1399 8443 21232

Date: 2023-05-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 225 45 33 0 0 0 0
OW 0 39 14 22 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 37 3 11 38 6 0 0
ODI 0 17 11 8 54 10 7 0
CDI 0 6 12 28 97 128 84 17
VCDI 0 0 0 29 185 1864 9949 19094
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 119 24 23 1 0 0 0
OW 0 46 14 33 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 45 21 6 19 9 0 0
ODI 0 28 3 7 12 6 0 0
CDI 0 43 2 10 43 65 51 9
VCDI 0 43 21 52 298 1928 9989 19102

Date: 2023-05-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 156 46 37 0 0 0 0
OW 0 43 10 50 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 29 5 10 11 12 0 0
ODI 0 17 2 14 12 39 8 0
CDI 0 9 12 18 68 213 92 3
VCDI 0 0 2 33 125 2021 11485 17483
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 94 17 6 0 0 0 0
OW 0 35 26 29 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 39 13 54 28 9 0 0
ODI 0 10 1 5 3 19 7 10
CDI 0 29 1 6 16 147 164 49
VCDI 0 47 19 62 185 2110 11414 17427


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