Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2023-04-20

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-04-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66960 16381 693 1214 343 35 4 0
OW 52 151 116 434 383 64 13 0
VODI 0 53 66 362 512 168 26 0
ODI 0 21 22 165 502 279 47 0
CDI 0 13 13 121 512 1240 611 75
VCDI 0 4 3 38 389 5353 15802 73808
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-04-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67408 16042 664 1274 398 41 6 0
OW 52 170 118 434 295 89 11 0
VODI 0 90 71 387 440 153 19 0
ODI 0 27 38 190 453 271 43 0
CDI 0 15 6 142 609 1205 573 11
VCDI 0 6 0 37 699 6222 16033 72306
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-04-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67967 15798 729 1326 254 29 0 0
OW 51 143 114 589 288 36 0 0
VODI 0 45 42 364 627 60 1 0
ODI 0 8 14 142 677 247 27 0
CDI 0 7 5 98 729 1317 353 36
VCDI 0 125 5 153 905 5709 17021 71007
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-04-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67671 16104 746 1313 285 30 27 0
OW 51 231 78 494 415 21 6 0
VODI 0 53 46 293 695 109 3 0
ODI 0 10 14 150 619 401 19 0
CDI 0 18 4 101 765 1199 553 21
VCDI 0 9 0 30 1200 6036 20911 66317
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67671 16243 762 1363 307 33 27 0
OW 51 102 66 453 404 21 6 0
VODI 0 41 45 279 635 109 3 0
ODI 0 11 11 151 624 390 25 0
CDI 0 17 4 101 754 1149 579 26
VCDI 0 11 0 34 1255 6094 20879 66312

Date: 2023-04-22:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2023-04-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67495 15984 725 1417 458 88 14 0
OW 60 122 92 470 512 91 1 0
VODI 0 49 39 306 569 234 22 5
ODI 0 25 16 180 570 505 74 16
CDI 0 12 7 180 738 1728 814 44
VCDI 0 2 0 122 1210 8251 29089 54712
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67495 15964 733 1453 604 96 14 0
OW 60 130 75 368 442 96 1 0
VODI 0 52 46 306 504 214 25 4
ODI 0 27 9 200 528 493 80 11
CDI 0 16 16 186 749 1785 852 41
VCDI 0 5 0 162 1230 8213 29042 54721

Date: 2023-04-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67309 16230 733 1492 481 127 11 0
OW 59 130 72 405 487 83 1 0
VODI 0 104 57 260 641 226 42 6
ODI 0 57 20 151 556 496 101 18
CDI 0 45 31 111 707 1709 985 61
VCDI 0 19 24 162 1297 7733 27166 56643
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67309 16168 733 1487 581 133 11 0
OW 59 146 71 376 451 80 3 0
VODI 0 110 49 260 571 210 37 4
ODI 0 60 28 166 532 423 84 9
CDI 0 68 26 121 721 1849 1067 39
VCDI 0 33 30 171 1313 7679 27104 56676

Date: 2023-04-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67390 16407 773 1400 404 123 10 0
OW 59 164 61 496 459 81 0 0
VODI 0 144 39 293 632 227 41 0
ODI 0 73 30 142 497 473 128 2
CDI 0 72 14 137 769 1561 843 23
VCDI 0 29 19 181 1493 7999 26012 57348
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67390 16368 732 1432 475 126 9 0
OW 59 202 87 396 438 67 7 0
VODI 0 128 53 303 608 191 28 0
ODI 0 52 27 182 443 377 84 0
CDI 0 95 16 169 805 1748 923 52
VCDI 0 44 21 167 1485 7955 25983 57321


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