Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2023-03-30

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-03-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65739 16657 661 1095 348 50 0 0
OW 54 159 130 445 345 71 0 0
VODI 0 98 38 314 424 186 2 0
ODI 0 51 8 131 340 259 30 0
CDI 0 4 6 91 432 557 122 0
VCDI 0 0 0 29 393 3088 9414 7329
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-03-26:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2023-03-28:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2023-03-30:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2023-04-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65911 16659 610 1053 390 53 0 0
OW 56 185 143 394 269 67 17 0
VODI 0 33 41 369 411 121 74 0
ODI 0 5 8 171 432 238 90 0
CDI 0 0 0 57 457 565 365 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 393 2151 7992 9319
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65911 16710 635 1068 388 48 0 0
OW 56 141 118 394 251 69 13 0
VODI 0 28 43 359 433 123 82 0
ODI 0 3 6 167 437 230 95 0
CDI 0 0 0 56 472 562 347 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 371 2163 8001 9319

Date: 2023-04-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66068 16609 627 864 298 21 0 0
OW 54 138 152 607 229 26 0 0
VODI 0 16 37 439 494 101 8 0
ODI 0 5 4 171 504 208 19 0
CDI 0 0 0 30 501 659 170 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 178 2475 8377 9010
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66068 16580 626 1111 447 46 1 0
OW 54 153 129 400 281 72 35 0
VODI 0 33 62 340 442 137 79 0
ODI 0 2 3 190 351 268 77 0
CDI 0 0 0 67 423 563 183 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 260 2404 8199 9010

Date: 2023-04-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66274 16347 708 1162 299 58 0 0
OW 53 133 106 498 260 50 0 0
VODI 0 36 54 308 456 105 6 0
ODI 0 7 11 169 412 174 44 0
CDI 0 0 4 103 407 410 190 0
VCDI 0 0 0 92 493 2643 8238 8790
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66274 16276 696 1217 420 100 0 0
OW 53 158 106 391 285 91 28 0
VODI 0 64 52 313 412 163 78 0
ODI 0 20 22 171 336 187 113 0
CDI 0 5 5 133 369 337 179 0
VCDI 0 0 2 107 505 2562 8080 8790

Date: 2023-04-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66381 16340 701 1116 320 27 0 0
OW 52 136 100 472 285 63 0 0
VODI 0 35 54 361 476 138 2 0
ODI 0 4 2 186 419 234 25 0
CDI 0 1 0 121 473 490 184 0
VCDI 0 1 4 84 403 3303 8679 7428
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66381 16251 626 1199 434 87 0 0
OW 52 175 151 350 349 102 18 0
VODI 0 70 58 312 413 225 40 0
ODI 0 15 19 175 326 249 83 0
CDI 0 4 3 161 406 452 159 0
VCDI 0 2 4 143 448 3140 8590 7428


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