Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2023-02-16

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-02-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73126 12467 102 450 71 0 0 0
OW 62 610 50 325 148 3 0 0
VODI 2 411 39 329 330 12 0 0
ODI 0 159 12 229 449 41 0 0
CDI 0 130 20 145 638 403 16 0
VCDI 0 514 42 479 1571 4749 6111 4855
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-02-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71955 13438 121 498 130 3 0 0
OW 52 582 38 322 165 7 0 0
VODI 0 415 48 263 366 24 0 0
ODI 0 212 17 185 388 64 4 0
CDI 0 146 16 141 534 247 69 0
VCDI 0 625 61 591 1518 4021 6344 5490
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-02-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71276 14133 120 491 169 2 0 0
OW 52 555 51 339 181 4 0 0
VODI 0 269 49 337 427 23 0 0
ODI 0 115 14 198 507 67 0 0
CDI 0 77 10 167 608 516 51 0
VCDI 0 173 26 311 1123 4126 6513 6020
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-02-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71680 13390 125 519 189 1 0 0
OW 51 560 44 332 152 4 0 0
VODI 0 335 51 329 411 5 0 0
ODI 0 143 17 226 482 49 0 0
CDI 0 86 22 167 690 442 47 0
VCDI 0 208 28 428 1691 4132 6302 5762
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71680 13445 130 552 192 1 0 0
OW 51 536 38 291 156 3 0 0
VODI 0 311 54 334 403 6 0 0
ODI 0 127 20 239 480 40 0 0
CDI 0 89 16 139 717 467 33 0
VCDI 0 214 29 446 1667 4116 6316 5762

Date: 2023-02-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71728 13175 116 474 166 4 0 0
OW 52 582 38 347 122 8 0 0
VODI 0 343 53 380 340 17 0 0
ODI 0 154 29 269 464 46 0 0
CDI 0 78 22 219 534 391 4 0
VCDI 0 271 33 533 2000 4100 6536 5472
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71709 13162 118 525 198 5 0 0
OW 71 605 33 301 120 9 0 0
VODI 0 330 52 376 336 15 0 0
ODI 0 137 34 269 461 50 0 0
CDI 0 76 19 219 578 451 6 0
VCDI 0 293 35 532 1933 4036 6534 5472

Date: 2023-02-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70895 13698 131 443 183 10 0 0
OW 61 386 69 444 164 10 0 0
VODI 0 175 40 529 446 23 0 0
ODI 0 24 23 232 825 50 0 0
CDI 0 10 2 80 991 418 7 0
VCDI 0 25 8 144 942 4473 7040 6099
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70856 13440 139 526 262 16 0 0
OW 100 471 43 328 211 18 0 0
VODI 0 243 41 375 446 33 0 0
ODI 0 103 16 229 480 82 0 0
CDI 0 22 21 179 771 368 33 0
VCDI 0 39 13 235 1381 4467 7014 6099

Date: 2023-02-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70546 13988 156 440 102 14 0 0
OW 55 416 65 431 149 6 0 0
VODI 0 203 33 497 414 11 0 0
ODI 0 69 20 231 585 42 0 0
CDI 0 16 11 132 810 331 39 0
VCDI 0 9 4 114 1266 4815 7495 5585
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70487 13724 152 532 264 17 0 0
OW 95 476 47 342 169 16 0 0
VODI 19 258 45 393 379 57 0 0
ODI 0 114 17 220 473 183 0 0
CDI 0 86 16 166 717 531 83 0
VCDI 0 43 12 192 1324 4415 7451 5585

Date: 2023-02-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70829 13755 94 348 148 10 0 0
OW 52 554 60 282 159 2 0 0
VODI 0 323 57 395 292 6 0 0
ODI 0 106 31 366 354 51 0 0
CDI 0 45 16 247 614 299 48 0
VCDI 0 26 10 176 1940 4873 7875 4657
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70717 13282 78 368 287 11 0 0
OW 124 651 53 243 205 17 0 0
VODI 40 407 56 320 321 37 0 0
ODI 0 196 24 275 293 105 0 0
CDI 0 134 22 233 422 315 72 0
VCDI 0 139 35 375 1979 4756 7851 4657


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