Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-02-16

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-02-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 185 232 1 0 0 0 0 0
OW 1 69 0 2 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 85 1 15 15 0 0 0
ODI 0 88 5 39 25 1 0 0
CDI 0 74 3 35 77 67 7 0
VCDI 0 423 26 236 629 2813 6346 20582
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-02-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 169 203 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 7 50 2 2 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 63 2 22 23 0 0 0
ODI 0 55 4 55 35 3 0 0
CDI 0 56 0 46 59 48 8 0
VCDI 0 369 22 264 509 2277 5695 22034
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-02-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 349 5 16 0 0 0 0
OW 0 41 4 10 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 35 3 24 41 2 0 0
ODI 0 45 1 37 72 7 0 0
CDI 0 56 2 21 66 72 68 3
VCDI 0 107 16 122 459 1009 10036 19353
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-02-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7 383 1 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 47 2 3 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 46 6 35 19 0 0 0
ODI 0 41 0 66 34 9 0 0
CDI 0 56 4 53 50 80 10 53
VCDI 0 150 19 210 498 1512 6293 22395
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7 378 1 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 52 3 4 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 51 5 26 17 0 0 0
ODI 0 45 0 67 31 4 0 0
CDI 0 51 4 48 38 77 10 55
VCDI 0 146 19 222 515 1520 6293 22393

Date: 2023-02-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80 324 1 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 65 1 10 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 74 10 73 12 0 0 0
ODI 0 68 2 69 95 9 0 0
CDI 0 70 3 48 139 62 3 2
VCDI 0 270 22 238 529 1592 5628 22582
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80 304 1 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 68 2 7 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 82 8 61 6 0 0 0
ODI 0 77 3 72 82 10 0 0
CDI 0 65 3 56 138 57 3 0
VCDI 0 275 22 242 549 1596 5628 22584

Date: 2023-02-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1 427 6 4 0 0 0 0
OW 0 61 1 41 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 128 7 127 10 0 0 0
ODI 0 65 9 157 125 7 0 0
CDI 0 84 7 62 189 131 39 12
VCDI 0 105 12 158 437 1800 9404 18466
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1 329 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 65 6 12 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 84 3 90 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 99 5 130 37 21 1 0
CDI 0 84 7 88 153 162 73 15
VCDI 0 209 21 229 571 1755 9369 18463

Date: 2023-02-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 335 10 36 0 0 0 0
OW 0 43 1 18 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 47 2 47 56 0 0 0
ODI 0 50 2 50 152 12 0 0
CDI 0 78 3 15 193 103 10 9
VCDI 0 69 9 78 443 780 6416 23007
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 263 6 19 0 0 0 0
OW 0 56 5 20 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 47 0 21 32 0 0 0
ODI 0 48 1 64 103 10 0 0
CDI 0 67 3 28 182 81 16 2
VCDI 0 141 12 92 535 804 6410 23014

Date: 2023-02-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 332 9 33 1 0 0 0
OW 0 40 5 10 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 48 1 24 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 40 2 23 35 19 0 0
CDI 0 62 3 24 103 98 18 14
VCDI 0 172 12 113 212 1206 7020 22401
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 307 4 19 0 0 0 0
OW 0 60 7 15 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 58 5 20 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 48 2 41 50 47 0 0
CDI 0 49 2 24 100 202 13 30
VCDI 0 172 12 108 201 1074 7025 22385


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