Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - GODAE regions

Bulletin date: 2023-02-09

Model: ARC-MFC PHYS (TOPAZ)

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-02-13

Best estimate

Forecast

Arctic Deep Basin:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 411 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 52 1 9 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 49 5 11 6 0 0 0
ODI 0 26 4 17 15 1 0 0
CDI 0 17 5 62 51 10 0 0
VCDI 0 315 31 357 552 1383 5205 28306
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 265 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 51 0 3 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 64 2 7 4 0 0 0
ODI 0 50 1 8 8 0 0 0
CDI 0 47 3 8 11 3 0 0
VCDI 0 393 40 430 602 1391 5205 28306

Queen Elisabeth Islands:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 115 1117 1901
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 115 1117 1901

Beaufort Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 358 9624
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 358 9624

Chuckchi Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 5 288 1990 3367
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 6 288 1990 3367

Siberian Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7246
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7246

Laptev Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 2 33 7
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 69 2113 3102
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 2 31 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 69 2115 3109

Kara Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 129 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 22 0 0 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 38 0 30 16 2 0 0
ODI 0 27 0 54 13 7 0 0
CDI 0 63 4 35 67 31 2 0
VCDI 0 70 9 107 301 928 4254 121
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 105 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 28 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 23 0 24 19 0 0 0
ODI 0 24 0 50 45 27 0 0
CDI 0 26 1 25 31 51 17 0
VCDI 0 143 12 127 303 890 4239 121

Barents Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4850 3929 17 48 0 0 0 0
OW 0 327 24 67 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 124 29 217 47 0 0 0
ODI 0 94 4 183 203 10 0 0
CDI 0 51 4 60 153 85 8 0
VCDI 0 24 6 66 282 386 31 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4839 3959 22 63 0 0 0 0
OW 11 230 21 78 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 146 18 153 57 0 0 0
ODI 0 62 9 97 107 6 0 0
CDI 0 64 2 65 106 30 6 0
VCDI 0 88 12 185 408 445 33 0

Greenland Basin:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5779 2559 6 22 0 0 0 0
OW 0 128 5 56 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 63 14 79 50 0 0 0
ODI 0 3 9 81 74 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 2 55 129 28 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 11 199 873 1401 58
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5779 2378 7 35 0 0 0 0
OW 0 101 0 42 16 0 0 0
VODI 0 144 1 19 40 0 0 0
ODI 0 66 8 35 45 0 0 0
CDI 0 46 9 58 53 8 0 0
VCDI 0 18 11 115 310 893 1401 58

Southeast Greenland:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8164 3300 21 83 49 0 0 0
OW 0 76 25 63 32 1 0 0
VODI 0 28 6 65 71 1 0 0
ODI 0 11 1 5 109 7 0 0
CDI 0 10 5 4 100 113 46 0
VCDI 0 0 2 8 66 321 195 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8164 3269 30 102 68 1 0 0
OW 0 79 9 46 36 1 0 0
VODI 0 26 10 52 59 9 0 0
ODI 0 22 1 12 66 30 0 0
CDI 0 14 2 3 77 34 46 0
VCDI 0 15 8 13 121 368 195 0

Baffin Bay:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 7 18 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 5 13 3 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 2 12 9 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 6 14 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 5 23 3 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 323 2275 3082
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 7 16 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 3 13 5 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 4 12 9 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 7 14 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 6 15 6 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 329 2272 3082

Hudson Bay:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 16 872 7691
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 16 872 7699

Labrador Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10817 4122 74 341 52 0 0 0
OW 0 27 12 174 86 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 2 91 220 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 24 284 10 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 282 133 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 115 1902 1432 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10817 4106 75 363 77 0 0 0
OW 0 33 11 147 104 0 0 0
VODI 0 14 1 89 182 6 0 0
ODI 0 5 1 26 225 21 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 275 144 4 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 176 1874 1428 0


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